NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	101		Excitement	9.0 [145]		MVP	John Collins (UTA): +39.0%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	3.9 [653]		LVP	Brice Sensabaugh (UTA): -24.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17	0.02	0.13	-0.01	24	46%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.07,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,0.08,0.14,0.17	0.04	0.13	-0.00	24	55%	0.30	4	-0.13	14	57%	-0.11
Jeff Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.08	-0.00	5	50%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	12	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Amen Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	12	56%	0.16	3	-0.11	8	75%	-0.02
Jae'Sean Tate	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Bullock Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.30	0.11	0.01	14	88%	0.39	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.15	0.00	7	80%	0.29	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.10	0.01	21	56%	0.27	4	-0.15	10	90%	0.02
Taylor Hendricks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.03	0.03	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Micah Potter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.07	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07	-0.07	0.05	-0.12	-0.00	7	79%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.21	-0.06	-0.02	12	25%	-0.06	6	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.17	-0.09	-0.01	8	0%	-0.14	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.0	25.0	14.7	28.3	2.5	33.5	132.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -13.4%

UTA -5.8%

HOU +26.6%

HOU +48.1%

UTA -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.8	14.5	105.2	105.3	113.9
season	14.2	14.7		113.2	113.7
opponent	13.9	14.6		119.0	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.1	10.4	14.8	18.5	14.4
UTA	16.2	14.9	16.5	15.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred VanVleet	84	84	0.87	-0.37	1.25	0.46	14	-13	27	14.1	16.3	-2.26	16.1	13.8	2.25
Amen Thompson	82	82	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.40	11	-10	21	13.6	19.0	-5.44	15.8	15.8	-0.04
Jalen Green	77	76	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.56	0	1	-1	14.1	15.4	-1.26	16.0	15.1	0.88
Jabari Smith Jr.	69	67	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.14	10	-9	19	13.1	17.4	-4.30	16.2	14.9	1.35
Dillon Brooks	43	45	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	0	1	13.1	15.4	-2.33	16.7	15.0	1.71
Jeff Green	37	37	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.27	-3	4	-7	17.8	12.2	5.58	15.5	16.0	-0.44
Jock Landale	50	48	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.25	-8	9	-17	16.1	12.5	3.64	15.0	16.6	-1.64
Reggie Bullock Jr.	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.06	2	-1	3	13.2	14.5	-1.32	15.9	15.8	0.11
Jae'Sean Tate	6	6	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	9	-17	13.3	14.4	-1.09	12.8	16.0	-3.18
Aaron Holiday	21	19	-0.47	0.97	-1.43	-0.06	-14	15	-29	16.8	13.7	3.14	13.9	16.3	-2.39

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kris Dunn	38	40	0.31	-0.81	1.11	-0.16	16	-17	33	15.6	16.0	-0.43	16.8	12.6	4.28
Micah Potter	25	27	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.14	5	-6	11	15.2	16.0	-0.88	16.0	13.7	2.29
Walker Kessler	34	35	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.00	7	-8	15	15.5	16.0	-0.44	16.3	13.2	3.13
Johnny Juzang	46	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.38	4	-5	9	15.7	15.9	-0.18	16.1	12.7	3.47
Collin Sexton	87	87	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.53	5	-6	11	16.1	12.7	3.34	14.4	14.2	0.15
Keyonte George	60	62	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.04	-12	11	-23	15.5	16.3	-0.84	13.1	16.7	-3.64
John Collins	61	61	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.48	-8	7	-15	16.0	15.5	0.44	13.2	16.3	-3.13
Brice Sensabaugh	54	52	-0.77	0.27	-1.03	-0.30	-16	15	-31	16.0	15.6	0.35	12.3	16.7	-4.38
Taylor Hendricks	70	69	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.61	-6	5	-11	16.0	15.2	0.88	13.7	16.0	-2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.21,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.35,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.23,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 97, MIL 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.21,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.16,0	92.1%
LAC 104, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.6,0.57,0.45,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.34,0.37,0.6,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.52,0.63,0.74,0.54,0.34,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.17,0	90.9%
POR 88, DET 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.48,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.28,0	90.2%