NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	110		Excitement	8.9 [158]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +26.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	114		Comeback	3.7 [390]		LVP	Gary Payton II (GSW): -11.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.24,0.18,0.26	0.13	0.13	0.00	21	62%	0.32	2	-0.06	8	100%	0.07
Draymond Green	0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.05	-0.01	9	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandin Podziemski	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.00	4	70%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.00	8	65%	0.12	2	-0.08	7	71%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	8	44%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Trayce Jackson-Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	6	37%	-0.00	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jonathan Kuminga	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	11	54%	0.10	2	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
Klay Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	15	52%	0.04	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Gary Payton II	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	3	33%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	7	79%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.05	0.14	-0.00	10	74%	0.29	4	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.09	-0.01	8	50%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.01	11	91%	0.21	6	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	12	54%	0.19	2	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	-0.00	9	43%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	18	52%	0.10	2	-0.05	8	62%	0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	0.2	27.2	15.5	28.2	1.8	39.2	136.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +55.6%

GSW -5.5%

MIN +3.1%

GSW -0.9%

GSW -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	13.3	15.0	14.5	108.9	111.8	113.9
season	14.3	14.8		116.2	114.4
opponent	14.7	14.4		108.4	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	12.9	12.8	13.4	14.2	13.3
MIN	14.7	14.3	15.4	15.9	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton II	47	48	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.19	8	-12	20	13.5	13.1	0.40	15.4	14.7	0.66
Jonathan Kuminga	62	66	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-3	2	13.2	13.5	-0.32	15.3	14.6	0.76
Stephen Curry	64	63	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.20	6	-10	16	12.9	14.0	-1.08	15.2	14.8	0.33
Draymond Green	67	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.36	8	-12	20	12.5	15.0	-2.49	15.0	15.1	-0.01
Trayce Jackson-Davis	59	59	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	5	-14	14.1	12.2	1.89	15.1	14.9	0.21
Brandin Podziemski	39	40	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.06	-11	7	-18	14.7	12.5	2.24	15.1	15.0	0.17
Chris Paul	42	42	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	1	-6	13.4	13.3	0.15	15.0	15.0	-0.00
Klay Thompson	70	69	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.33	-6	2	-8	13.3	13.3	0.08	14.8	15.6	-0.78
Andrew Wiggins	55	55	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.41	-10	6	-16	12.8	13.9	-1.05	14.4	15.8	-1.33

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	78	79	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-4	12	14.9	15.4	-0.48	13.5	12.6	0.87
Kyle Anderson	54	54	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.46	5	-1	6	15.1	15.0	0.05	13.2	13.4	-0.16
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	47	45	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-8	20	15.3	14.8	0.50	14.1	12.7	1.35
Mike Conley	66	63	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.41	3	1	2	15.3	14.5	0.81	13.3	13.4	-0.12
Monte Morris	35	37	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	-3	10	14.7	15.3	-0.60	13.9	13.0	0.91
Jaden McDaniels	63	63	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	8	-12	15.0	15.2	-0.21	12.9	14.0	-1.10
Jordan McLaughlin	24	24	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	0	4	15.4	14.9	0.48	13.6	13.2	0.35
Anthony Edwards	80	80	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.25	-9	13	-22	14.9	15.5	-0.52	12.9	14.8	-1.88
Naz Reid	63	60	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.05	-6	10	-16	15.0	15.2	-0.21	13.1	13.6	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.31,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.45,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.28,0.35,0.23,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.88,0.83,0.62,0.71,0.55,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.71,0.87,0.75,0.64,0.77,0.83,1	91.4%
NJN 88, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.91,1	91.0%
LAL 95, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.31,0.3,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.62,0.73,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.72,0.77,0.85,1	90.5%