NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	88		Excitement	7.9 [269]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (CLE): +16.4%
Cleveland Cavaliers	93		Comeback	3.0 [92]		LVP	Kenyon Martin (NJN): -36.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.05	0.06	-0.08	13	42%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	77%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	9	48%	0.01	1	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Rodney Rogers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	10	40%	-0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.34	-0.10	-0.22	0.01	16	49%	-0.11	4	-0.22	11	91%	0.06
Kenyon Martin	-0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.37,-0.37	-0.12	-0.26	-0.01	20	42%	-0.14	4	-0.23	3	67%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.07	0.10	0.00	8	75%	0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	9	68%	0.13	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.04
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	7	62%	0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	0.01	6	64%	0.03	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.25,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	0.03	-0.15	0.03	21	63%	0.15	5	-0.31	4	75%	0.01
Ricky Davis	0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.23,-0.27	-0.27	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	6	27%	-0.10	7	-0.18	3	0%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	23.4	15.7	24.1	2.5	37.3	130.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +63.8%

NJN -18.8%

CLE +29.6%

NJN -25.9%

CLE +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CLE	NBA	NJN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	16.1	15.5	94.6	101.1	101.6
season	15.0	15.1		101.1	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.9		104.3	96.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	13.5	15.9	15.3	15.9	15.1
CLE	14.2	16.9	15.3	18.4	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	23	21	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.05	0	-5	5	15.5	14.9	0.59	17.4	15.7	1.70
Jason Collins	58	58	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.27	10	-15	25	13.8	17.3	-3.50	16.1	16.0	0.06
Kerry Kittles	70	70	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.16	2	-7	9	14.2	17.6	-3.37	16.2	15.5	0.68
Anthony Johnson	6	6	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.05	-4	-1	-3	23.7	14.5	9.18	16.0	16.1	-0.07
Jason Kidd	76	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-9	13	13.9	20.1	-6.17	15.8	17.1	-1.28
Kenyon Martin	76	76	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-9	13	13.9	20.1	-6.17	15.8	17.1	-1.28
Rodney Rogers	14	13	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	2	-9	19.4	14.3	5.12	13.5	16.5	-2.94
Aaron Williams	35	34	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	8	-21	17.3	13.8	3.50	16.0	16.1	-0.06
Richard Jefferson	73	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.29	-7	2	-9	15.3	14.3	0.92	16.4	14.8	1.53
Lucious Harris	34	32	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.10	-14	9	-23	17.8	13.5	4.29	16.2	16.0	0.28

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Smush Parker	65	67	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.31	12	-7	19	16.5	14.9	1.61	15.5	14.0	1.44
Chris Mihm	39	40	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.11	13	-8	21	16.6	15.6	1.00	16.8	13.8	3.07
Ricky Davis	78	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.44	1	4	-3	15.9	16.9	-1.02	14.8	16.6	-1.87
Jumaine Jones	46	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	2	1	17.3	14.8	2.57	15.3	14.8	0.54
Darius Miles	55	55	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.30	3	2	1	15.3	17.1	-1.79	14.3	16.2	-1.92
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	63	65	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.28	-4	9	-13	16.3	15.5	0.80	14.2	17.2	-3.01
DeSagana Diop	17	16	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	-1	7	16.1	16.1	-0.01	15.2	15.1	0.14
Carlos Boozer	56	56	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.09	-6	11	-17	15.0	17.7	-2.63	15.4	14.6	0.80
Milt Palacio	41	42	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	8	-11	15.6	16.4	-0.82	15.0	15.1	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.72,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 103, GSW 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.85,1	91.4%
GSW 85, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.85,0.95,1	91.1%
LAC 91, PHX 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.59,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.45,0.34,0.4,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.53,0.66,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.76,0.92,1	90.4%