NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	132		Excitement	12.3 [14]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +102.0%
Indiana Pacers	129		Comeback	30.8 [43]		LVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): -38.0%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	1.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.6,0.65,0.65,1.03,1.03,1.02	0.30	0.75	0.03	24	71%	1.15	2	-0.13	17	88%	0.07
Alex Caruso	0.30	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.20	0.10	-0.00	13	88%	0.32	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2	0.07	0.13	0.00	5	83%	0.22	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ayo Dosunmu	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	12	67%	0.16	2	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Onuralp Bitim	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andre Drummond	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Nikola Vucevic	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	14	43%	0.01	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	17	41%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.3,0.57,0.5,0.65,0.83,0.83,0.83	0.83	0.19	0.64	-0.00	15	75%	0.84	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.07
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.13	0.05	0.01	7	83%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Aaron Nesmith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,0.03,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.01	12	50%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jarace Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	5	83%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.00	11	59%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.04
Tyrese Haliburton	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	13	57%	0.11	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.06
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.00	12	63%	0.17	2	-0.13	3	33%	-0.03
Ben Sheppard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	5	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.08	-0.20	0.00	7	29%	-0.12	2	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.38,-0.38	-0.38	-0.07	-0.32	-0.00	12	33%	-0.30	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	28.7	15.3	26.3	1.8	46.4	2.8	13.6	162.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +62.2%

IND -7.8%

IND -1.3%

IND -13.9%

CHI +10.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	14.3	14.5	118.9	116.2	113.9
season	14.5	13.7		113.4	120.1
opponent	14.6	15.0		117.5	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	14.0	14.0	12.6	17.0	14.7	14.4
IND	13.7	14.8	14.0	14.7	14.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Vucevic	89	88	1.14	-0.64	1.78	0.46	23	-20	43	14.7	13.1	1.58	14.7	12.8	1.84
DeMar DeRozan	91	91	1.03	-0.53	1.56	0.50	18	-15	33	14.7	12.9	1.78	14.7	12.4	2.30
Alex Caruso	76	75	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.32	22	-19	41	13.9	15.5	-1.60	14.6	13.7	0.92
Ayo Dosunmu	91	92	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	2	-1	14.4	14.3	0.01	14.1	15.1	-0.92
Torrey Craig	42	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.57	-12	15	-27	15.9	13.4	2.45	15.0	13.8	1.20
Dalen Terry	12	11	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	10	-17	13.9	14.4	-0.50	15.5	14.2	1.29
Andre Drummond	22	24	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.36	-18	21	-39	13.1	14.7	-1.58	12.6	14.7	-2.12
Onuralp Bitim	29	30	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	0.02	-9	12	-21	14.3	14.4	-0.02	13.3	14.7	-1.40
Coby White	78	76	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	-0.40	5	-2	7	14.1	15.0	-0.91	14.0	14.9	-0.96
Julian Phillips	25	25	-0.29	0.79	-1.09	-0.06	-8	11	-19	13.2	14.7	-1.45	13.1	14.6	-1.56

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Sheppard	44	44	0.34	-0.84	1.18	-0.19	18	-21	39	13.8	14.6	-0.82	14.8	14.1	0.68
Jalen Smith	37	38	0.21	-0.71	0.93	-0.14	12	-15	27	13.1	14.9	-1.73	14.2	14.4	-0.19
Aaron Nesmith	54	56	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.58	-17	14	-31	14.6	14.0	0.63	14.2	14.5	-0.37
T.J. McConnell	44	43	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.44	15	-18	33	13.6	14.7	-1.08	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Jarace Walker	51	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.44	14	-17	31	14.1	14.5	-0.42	14.1	14.6	-0.56
Pascal Siakam	75	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-3	3	14.0	14.9	-0.97	13.9	15.4	-1.48
Obi Toppin	38	38	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.28	-3	0	-3	15.1	13.8	1.28	15.0	14.0	0.93
Myles Turner	72	69	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.23	-13	10	-23	14.8	13.4	1.35	14.8	13.7	1.04
Andrew Nembhard	61	61	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.26	-19	16	-35	14.6	13.9	0.71	14.4	14.4	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	79	79	-0.95	0.45	-1.40	-0.31	-22	19	-41	14.6	13.5	1.11	14.4	14.3	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.49,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.26,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.38,0.53,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.58,0.61,0.39,0.24,0.58,0.5,0.39,0.54,0.34,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 110, UTA 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.32,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.31,0.08,0	87.9%
WAS 120, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	87.7%
NJN 114, CHA 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.6,0.45,0.21,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.19,0.22,0.09,0,0	86.6%