NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	110		Excitement	10.3 [59]		MVP	Jason Terry (BOS): +18.1%
Utah Jazz	107		Comeback	2.7 [182]		LVP	Alec Burks (UTA): -16.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.03	0.14	-0.01	13	54%	0.20	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.04,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.09	0.01	20	59%	0.35	4	-0.23	4	75%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09	0.03	0.05	-0.01	8	64%	0.13	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.03
Avery Bradley	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	12	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,-0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	10	56%	0.10	1	-0.05	7	100%	0.06
Kevin Garnett	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	62%	0.19	2	-0.14	3	100%	0.04
Jordan Crawford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	10	30%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.15,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.01	-0.00	16	63%	0.15	0	0.00	9	89%	0.11
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	0.00	7	50%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	10	62%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	64%	0.11	4	-0.16	3	100%	0.04
Paul Millsap	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	-0.06	0.06	-0.08	0.04	12	62%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.04
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	10	40%	-0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	28.4	15.8	23.2	2.4	38.4	1.8	20.8	155.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +75.9%

UTA -9.6%

UTA -9.1%

UTA -6.4%

UTA -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	17.5	15.4	112.2	109.2	104.1
season	14.9	16.0		101.2	104.6
opponent	15.1	16.2		105.0	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	13.8	16.5	13.2	16.2	16.1	15.0
UTA	16.2	16.2	18.9	19.8	15.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Pierce	71	72	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.49	10	-7	17	14.5	16.3	-1.88	18.4	14.9	3.53
Avery Bradley	71	73	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.30	9	-6	15	15.1	14.6	0.57	17.6	17.2	0.32
Courtney Lee	63	61	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	-5	13	14.1	16.5	-2.40	18.2	16.2	1.99
Jeff Green	52	51	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.48	-5	8	-13	15.2	14.7	0.56	16.5	18.6	-2.14
Chris Wilcox	41	38	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.18	5	-2	7	14.5	15.3	-0.83	17.2	17.6	-0.40
Brandon Bass	77	78	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	0	3	15.1	14.6	0.45	17.5	17.3	0.23
Kevin Garnett	66	67	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.32	-6	9	-15	15.8	13.3	2.46	17.0	18.5	-1.52
Jordan Crawford	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	1	1	15.4	14.9	0.44	16.7	17.5	-0.79
Jason Terry	41	42	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.03	-11	14	-25	15.5	14.6	0.93	16.9	17.9	-0.96

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Enes Kanter	22	24	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.00	14	-17	31	16.0	17.9	-1.91	16.5	14.5	1.97
Derrick Favors	35	37	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-8	13	16.4	18.1	-1.72	15.1	14.9	0.14
DeMarre Carroll	48	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.25	4	-7	11	18.2	16.8	1.39	15.8	14.2	1.61
Alec Burks	59	60	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.39	8	-11	19	17.8	17.0	0.75	15.5	14.2	1.28
Randy Foye	33	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	0	-3	16.0	18.2	-2.19	14.2	15.4	-1.19
Earl Watson	39	38	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.02	-11	8	-19	17.0	17.8	-0.75	14.2	15.5	-1.28
Marvin Williams	50	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	6	-15	16.8	18.2	-1.39	14.4	15.6	-1.12
Gordon Hayward	66	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.41	0	-3	3	18.0	16.5	1.45	15.2	14.5	0.65
Paul Millsap	67	65	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.40	-10	7	-17	18.1	16.1	2.02	14.6	15.8	-1.19
Al Jefferson	71	70	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.37	-13	10	-23	18.1	15.8	2.30	14.8	15.4	-0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.32,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.57,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.31,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.57,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.62,0.41,0.41,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.16,0.54,0.32,0.21,0.09,0,0	89.7%
POR 98, MIN 92	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.09,0.54,0.38,0.37,0.09,0.05,0	89.2%
WAS 120, LAL 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.52,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.46,0.33,0.17,0.54,0.39,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	89.1%