NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	106		Excitement	7.7 [324]		MVP	Immanuel Quickley (TOR): +27.7%
Toronto Raptors	111		Comeback	2.0 [786]		LVP	Vasilije Micic (CHA): -16.6%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Davis Bertans	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.28,0.24	0.07	0.19	0.01	11	64%	0.26	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryce McGowens	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	3	89%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Brandon Miller	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	21	60%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
JT Thor	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	13	55%	0.11	6	-0.13	7	86%	0.01
Marques Bolden	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	8	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.09	0.02	-0.11	-0.00	19	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Vasilije Micic	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.17	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	13	41%	0.01	4	-0.18	3	67%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.28	0.28	0.05	0.24	0.01	14	61%	0.34	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.15
Jordan Nwora	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.01	8	69%	0.15	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.01	13	59%	0.13	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Gradey Dick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.00	7	79%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	-0.07	0.01	15	72%	0.12	5	-0.14	2	0%	-0.04
D.J. Carton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jontay Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	4	33%	-0.01	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	20	32%	-0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.4	28.5	14.6	29.1	2.5	33.6	134.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +7.0%

TOR +25.2%

TOR +10.7%

TOR +1.3%

TOR +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	TOR	NBA	CHA	TOR	NBA
this game	14.2	13.2	14.5	101.9	104.7	113.9
season	14.8	14.0		108.3	111.3
opponent	14.7	14.5		117.6	118.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	13.3	16.8	14.9	12.1	14.2
TOR	14.4	12.7	12.3	13.6	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryce McGowens	34	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-11	17	13.6	14.5	-0.81	14.4	12.7	1.63
JT Thor	18	17	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-3	1	16.6	13.7	2.86	13.2	13.3	-0.08
Davis Bertans	56	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.36	7	-12	19	13.4	15.1	-1.65	13.6	12.8	0.80
Marques Bolden	17	18	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.02	-7	2	-9	14.9	14.1	0.82	12.7	13.4	-0.70
Grant Williams	87	88	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-7	9	14.1	14.9	-0.82	13.4	12.7	0.70
Tre Mann	64	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	5	-15	15.0	12.8	2.22	13.1	13.5	-0.46
Miles Bridges	86	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-2	-1	13.7	16.6	-2.86	13.3	13.2	0.08
Vasilije Micic	78	80	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	1	-7	14.0	14.8	-0.87	13.0	14.0	-1.00
Brandon Miller	80	83	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.22	-12	7	-19	14.5	13.2	1.28	12.9	14.4	-1.52

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ochai Agbaji	73	71	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-9	23	12.7	14.5	-1.80	14.6	13.4	1.17
Immanuel Quickley	80	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-3	11	13.1	13.7	-0.64	14.0	14.6	-0.59
Gary Trent Jr.	77	74	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.22	8	-3	11	13.1	13.8	-0.71	14.0	14.6	-0.53
RJ Barrett	77	76	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.23	4	1	3	12.9	14.2	-1.32	14.4	13.6	0.75
Jakob Poeltl	31	30	0.28	0.22	0.07	-0.13	14	-9	23	14.5	12.7	1.84	14.9	13.9	1.04
Jontay Porter	14	15	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	1	3	14.4	13.1	1.36	14.4	14.2	0.24
Gradey Dick	52	52	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.22	-2	7	-9	14.2	12.4	1.78	14.0	14.3	-0.31
D.J. Carton	26	27	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	8	-11	13.7	13.1	0.64	14.6	14.0	0.59
Kelly Olynyk	61	59	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.37	-13	18	-31	12.3	14.5	-2.20	13.8	14.8	-0.99
Jordan Nwora	39	39	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.23	-9	14	-23	14.2	12.7	1.48	13.6	14.5	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.78,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.96,0.85,0.91,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 104, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.97,0.73,1	92.9%
WAS 112, TOR 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.77,0.68,0.62,0.73,0.83,0.82,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.73,1	92.2%
TOR 99, MEM 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.76,0.42,1	91.9%