inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 99 Excitement7.5 [364] MVPMarc Gasol (MEM): +37.0%
Memphis Grizzlies 101 Comeback2.1 [768] LVPPatrick Patterson (TOR): -21.5%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0.290,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.26,0.38,0.290.190.120.022164%0.2900.003100%0.02
Cory Joseph0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.030.031154%0.0700.00683%0.00
Lucas Nogueira0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.000.00480%0.102-0.0620%-0.04
DeMarre Carroll0.030,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.02961%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.03-0.05375%0.023-0.032100%0.01
Fred VanVleet-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Norman Powell-0.090,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09-0.01-0.060.032146%-0.071-0.02425%-0.04
Terrence Ross-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13-0.03-0.10-0.00933%-0.1300.0000%0.00
Jared Sullinger-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.01-0.0060%-0.111-0.0200%0.00
Patrick Patterson-0.210,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21-0.09-0.13-0.01719%-0.201-0.0120%-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marc Gasol0,0,0.04,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.370.370.260.140.032570%0.412-0.041090%0.10
Zach Randolph0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.070.04-0.001067%0.141-0.02425%-0.03
Vince Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.010.00458%0.0400.00475%0.00
Tony Allen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.020.001452%0.072-0.0410%-0.02
James Ennis III0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03650%0.032-0.0200%0.00
Andrew Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.000.00150%0.021-0.032100%0.02
Deyonta Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00233%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Mike Conley0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.09-0.07-0.031632%-0.111-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.429.517.425.01.835.1135.6
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MEM +43.6%
MEM +17.5%
TOR -11.1%
TOR -5.6%
MEM +5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMEMNBATORMEMNBA
this game15.516.514.8110.0112.2107.7
season15.216.1110.0106.4
opponent14.914.9106.7106.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.115.716.015.015.5
MEM16.215.016.019.216.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jared Sullinger3028-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-1015.615.40.2515.816.9-1.03
DeMarre Carroll4140-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-2215.515.40.1317.016.20.79
Patrick Patterson4949-0.08-0.420.34-0.142-4615.915.00.9517.315.61.65
Fred VanVleet68-0.18-0.320.13-0.07-42-615.315.5-0.1414.716.7-1.96
Jonas Valanciunas4747-0.20-0.300.10-0.293-5814.916.0-1.1117.815.22.58
Lucas Nogueira4747-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.16-42-615.715.20.4515.118.1-2.94
Norman Powell6160-0.29-0.21-0.08-0.321-3415.216.0-0.7417.514.62.85
Kyle Lowry7576-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.432-4615.117.5-2.4016.616.20.38
Cory Joseph5555-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.441-3415.615.20.3916.217.1-0.90
Terrence Ross3940-0.610.11-0.71-0.31-108-1816.115.01.0315.217.6-2.45

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marc Gasol72720.69-0.190.890.439-71616.616.20.4615.216.4-1.15
James Ennis III72690.57-0.070.630.5120216.516.7-0.1715.216.2-0.94
Mike Conley68670.410.090.310.294-2616.317.2-0.8615.316.0-0.77
Andrew Harrison36350.330.170.150.185-3816.116.9-0.8015.615.40.26
Vince Carter56580.310.190.120.37-24-615.817.7-1.9315.515.30.19
Tony Allen62640.240.26-0.020.2402-217.514.33.2115.714.80.93
Zach Randolph70720.030.47-0.450.17-57-1217.015.01.9115.615.10.51
Deyonta Davis1413-0.070.57-0.630.02-35-814.916.8-1.9816.315.30.98


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.47,0.44,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.89,0.76,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 108, LAC 1090.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.87,0.79,0.79,0.89,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.79,0.77,0.53,190.9%
DAL 116, GSW 1200.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.3,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.73,190.5%
ORL 82, ATL 850.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.56,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.85,0.58,190.1%