NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	119		Excitement	9.9 [82]		MVP	Max Strus (CLE): +105.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	121		Comeback	42.1 [54]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -21.5%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Washington	0.61	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.61	0.07	0.55	0.01	8	65%	0.61	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Luka Doncic	0.43	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.31	0.15	0.03	29	71%	0.46	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.21,0.09,0.19	0.09	0.10	0.01	24	61%	0.36	3	-0.18	1	100%	0.00
Dereck Lively II	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.01	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Josh Green	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	8	44%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	5	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	3	37%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Daniel Gafford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jaden Hardy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Max Strus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.25,0.25,1.05	1.05	0.16	0.91	0.02	12	87%	1.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.24,0.45	0.45	0.08	0.38	0.01	20	72%	0.73	7	-0.28	3	67%	-0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.03	0.01	9	79%	0.18	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.01	0.00	6	83%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.15	1	-0.12	2	100%	0.03
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	55%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.12	0.01	10	32%	-0.13	2	-0.08	5	60%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	26.0	14.7	24.2	2.5	32.4	124.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +58.6%

CLE +6.2%

CLE +19.7%

DAL -43.2%

CLE +8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CLE	NBA	DAL	CLE	NBA
this game	14.2	15.1	14.5	120.2	123.5	113.9
season	14.2	14.7		116.2	112.9
opponent	14.7	14.4		111.1	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.4	15.9	13.5	15.0	14.2
CLE	16.4	13.4	17.3	13.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway Jr.	54	55	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.11	10	-12	22	14.0	14.4	-0.44	14.8	15.4	-0.68
P.J. Washington	72	73	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.51	17	-19	36	13.7	15.5	-1.84	15.5	13.8	1.69
Derrick Jones Jr.	18	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.12	-5	3	-8	12.2	14.6	-2.40	15.2	15.0	0.15
Dereck Lively II	45	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	3	-8	15.1	13.4	1.74	15.4	14.8	0.63
Luka Doncic	85	85	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.51	13	-15	28	13.7	17.2	-3.53	15.2	13.9	1.31
Daniel Gafford	14	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.04	-7	5	-12	13.9	14.2	-0.29	12.6	15.5	-2.82
Jaden Hardy	11	10	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.09	-11	9	-20	18.5	13.6	4.81	11.2	15.5	-4.30
Maxi Kleber	58	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.40	-3	1	-4	13.9	14.5	-0.61	14.5	15.7	-1.22
Josh Green	59	57	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.38	-11	9	-20	14.4	13.9	0.47	15.8	14.0	1.78
Kyrie Irving	79	80	-0.82	0.32	-1.14	-0.59	-8	6	-14	14.7	12.1	2.61	15.2	14.4	0.82

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caris LeVert	58	59	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.33	16	-14	30	14.2	16.2	-2.01	14.0	14.5	-0.53
Darius Garland	64	66	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-10	22	15.4	14.4	1.08	14.5	13.6	0.82
Max Strus	54	54	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.76	-10	12	-22	16.0	13.9	2.13	12.9	15.7	-2.76
Jarrett Allen	69	67	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.71	-12	14	-26	15.7	13.6	2.14	13.3	16.0	-2.64
Isaac Okoro	51	52	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.07	12	-10	22	13.4	16.9	-3.48	15.5	12.8	2.70
Georges Niang	42	43	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.31	17	-15	32	13.4	16.3	-2.98	16.0	12.8	3.21
Evan Mobley	57	59	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	4	-6	15.5	14.5	0.94	14.3	14.0	0.26
Donovan Mitchell	77	77	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.28	-14	16	-30	15.5	13.3	2.26	14.1	14.5	-0.35
Dean Wade	18	18	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.02	-9	11	-20	16.4	14.7	1.69	12.8	14.5	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.71,0.76,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.77,0.73,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.16,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.45,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 108, DEN 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.15,0.18,0.31,0.28,0.44,0.92,1	87.8%
POR 81, DAL 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.43,0.73,1	87.7%
NJN 106, HOU 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.73,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.63,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.77,0.76,0.78,0.74,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.46,0.32,0.58,1	86.9%