NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	81		Excitement	8.1 [229]		MVP	Jason Terry (DAL): +30.2%
Dallas Mavericks	84		Comeback	3.9 [379]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -19.0%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.01	23	52%	0.13	3	-0.08	8	75%	-0.02
Patty Mills	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	4	22%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Nicolas Batum	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Sean Marks	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	11	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Dante Cunningham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	10	41%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,0.04,0.17,0.3	0.30	-0.02	0.32	-0.00	19	47%	0.40	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.29	0.29	0.11	0.19	-0.00	12	64%	0.29	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	9	74%	0.10	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.04
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	53%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Dominique Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.08	0.01	8	44%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	12	32%	-0.07	5	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.5	29.9	16.8	22.2	2.5	32.2	127.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +53.7%

DAL +4.0%

DAL +7.2%

POR -18.1%

DAL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	DAL	NBA	POR	DAL	NBA
this game	17.7	17.2	15.5	97.6	102.4	105.7
season	16.5	15.7		106.7	108.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		103.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.1	17.4	17.0	18.4	17.7
DAL	17.0	15.3	17.3	19.5	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sean Marks	1	0	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-1	-1	21.0	17.7	3.34	0.0	17.2	-17.21
Rudy Fernandez	29	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-1	-1	16.4	18.4	-1.98	17.7	16.9	0.75
Dante Cunningham	17	16	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	0	-3	15.7	18.2	-2.51	19.3	16.7	2.62
Joel Przybilla	5	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.03	-5	2	-7	16.2	17.8	-1.59	16.6	17.2	-0.65
Patty Mills	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.00	-7	4	-11	17.1	18.2	-1.02	17.2	17.2	-0.08
LaMarcus Aldridge	75	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.43	5	-8	13	18.1	13.6	4.51	17.4	15.0	2.41
Andre Miller	51	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-4	5	18.4	16.6	1.85	17.7	16.5	1.11
Wesley Matthews	73	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-2	1	17.8	17.1	0.68	17.2	17.2	0.03
Marcus Camby	68	67	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-2	1	17.8	17.3	0.45	16.8	19.1	-2.36
Nicolas Batum	59	61	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.53	0	-3	3	18.0	17.0	0.92	16.4	19.7	-3.31

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	66	68	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.49	5	-2	7	17.2	17.2	-0.05	17.5	18.4	-0.86
DeShawn Stevenson	57	58	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.54	1	2	-1	17.3	17.0	0.24	17.6	18.0	-0.37
Shawn Marion	46	46	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.55	-4	7	-11	16.7	17.9	-1.21	18.3	17.0	1.31
Tyson Chandler	55	54	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.45	-2	5	-7	16.9	17.8	-0.85	18.1	16.9	1.29
Jason Terry	66	65	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.47	-5	8	-13	16.9	18.6	-1.68	18.4	15.0	3.45
Brendan Haywood	27	29	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	-2	7	17.8	16.9	0.85	16.9	18.1	-1.29
Jose Juan Barea	37	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	-3	9	17.7	16.8	0.90	16.9	18.4	-1.48
Brian Cardinal	37	38	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.18	8	-5	13	17.6	16.8	0.80	16.5	18.7	-2.16
Dominique Jones	19	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.12	1	2	-1	17.6	17.1	0.55	18.6	17.4	1.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.53,0.41,0.53,0.27,0.25,0.21,0.43,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 90, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.61,0.39,0.22,0.45,0.85,1	91.1%
CHI 88, CHH 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.51,0.67,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.25,0.36,0.55,0.72,1	91.0%
LAL 94, SAS 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.35,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.56,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.66,0.72,0.63,0.53,0.34,0.39,0.32,0.46,0.55,0.72,1	90.6%