NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	123		Excitement	8.2 [237]		MVP	Buddy Hield (PHI): +29.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	121		Comeback	1.9 [186]		LVP	Georges Niang (CLE): -10.2%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Buddy Hield	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.16	0.12	-0.01	13	89%	0.35	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26	0.19	0.12	0.05	14	80%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cameron Payne	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	10	58%	0.12	0	0.00	6	100%	0.06
Ricky Council IV	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1	0.00	0.10	-0.00	7	42%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.04
Paul Reed	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	10	62%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
KJ Martin	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	5	100%	0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	21	48%	0.10	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.04
Terquavion Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.03	0.03	20	63%	0.24	3	-0.07	17	82%	0.02
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.06	0.02	13	70%	0.20	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	11	58%	0.12	1	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Max Strus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.04	0.05	16	66%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sam Merrill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	14	39%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	0.3	24.2	15.7	30.7	2.6	42.9	140.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +45.8%

PHI +2.3%

CLE -5.3%

PHI +5.9%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CLE	NBA	PHI	CLE	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	14.5	128.1	124.7	113.9
season	14.9	14.8		115.6	113.0
opponent	14.7	14.5		111.2	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.7	15.3	15.1	16.0	15.0
CLE	14.5	15.3	14.9	14.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Bamba	35	39	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.35	9	-7	16	15.9	14.5	1.45	14.7	14.9	-0.18
Kelly Oubre Jr.	83	82	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-5	12	14.6	17.5	-2.91	15.3	12.3	3.03
Tyrese Maxey	85	84	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.51	-2	4	-6	14.8	16.6	-1.82	15.0	13.4	1.66
KJ Martin	52	53	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.51	-2	4	-6	15.4	14.6	0.79	14.7	14.9	-0.20
Buddy Hield	69	71	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.37	-2	4	-6	15.3	14.4	0.90	14.9	14.5	0.39
Ricky Council IV	40	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.02	5	-3	8	14.6	15.3	-0.72	14.4	15.2	-0.82
Terquavion Smith	6	7	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	0	2	17.3	14.9	2.47	13.3	14.9	-1.66
Cameron Payne	50	49	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.04	-1	3	-4	15.1	14.9	0.25	14.2	15.4	-1.21
Paul Reed	60	58	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.09	-6	8	-14	14.7	15.6	-0.94	14.9	14.7	0.18

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Merrill	18	19	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	2	-6	14.3	14.9	-0.67	16.8	14.6	2.27
Georges Niang	35	36	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.05	-7	5	-12	15.3	14.5	0.77	15.7	14.6	1.03
Isaac Okoro	47	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-2	2	14.7	15.0	-0.28	15.8	14.3	1.59
Jarrett Allen	76	75	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.56	10	-12	22	14.8	14.8	0.02	14.8	16.0	-1.19
Donovan Mitchell	77	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.56	10	-12	22	14.9	14.4	0.47	14.8	16.0	-1.19
Max Strus	62	60	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.50	5	-7	12	14.5	15.3	-0.77	14.6	15.7	-1.03
Evan Mobley	55	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	9	-20	15.3	14.3	0.99	14.6	15.6	-1.07
Caris LeVert	54	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.24	-5	3	-8	14.6	15.0	-0.40	15.2	14.7	0.50
Darius Garland	61	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	6	-14	14.7	15.0	-0.23	14.7	15.6	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.4,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.22,0.05,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 83, POR 77	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.07,0.03,0,0	92.9%
IND 97, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.19,0.21,0.06,0,0	92.0%
PHI 99, DEN 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.47,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.32,0.15,0.09,0,0	91.9%