NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	108		Excitement	9.9 [78]		MVP	Franz Wagner (ORL): +34.5%
Orlando Magic	114		Comeback	7.6 [267]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -19.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ayo Dosunmu	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.05	-0.01	12	79%	0.22	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.03	-0.03	24	52%	0.16	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Nikola Vucevic	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.01	25	50%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Torrey Craig	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.04	-0.02	3	50%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	3	40%	0.00	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Alex Caruso	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	6	75%	0.08	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2	-0.11	-0.08	0.00	21	32%	-0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Franz Wagner	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35	0.35	0.21	0.16	0.02	22	67%	0.38	1	-0.03	10	70%	0.01
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21	0.21	0.04	0.17	0.00	2	71%	0.21	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	117%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	11	54%	0.18	3	-0.13	4	75%	-0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	72%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.12	-0.09	13	56%	-0.02	3	0.01	8	87%	0.02
Gary Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Isaac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.00	8	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	33%	-0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	26.4	14.6	30.2	2.5	26.5	2.3	12.5	141.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.4	15.0	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +36.2%

ORL +2.9%

ORL +27.0%

CHI -14.4%

CHI -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ORL	NBA	CHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.8	17.3	14.5	112.5	118.8	113.9
season	14.5	15.1		113.4	111.8
opponent	14.4	15.0		109.4	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	16.5	17.0	12.9	17.1	16.9	15.8
ORL	16.3	16.5	15.9	19.8	20.6	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Phillips	13	14	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-3	0	16.2	15.8	0.46	15.2	17.6	-2.43
Dalen Terry	21	21	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	3	-12	15.9	15.8	0.09	16.6	17.5	-0.92
Ayo Dosunmu	72	70	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-7	8	15.7	16.3	-0.67	18.2	15.0	3.20
Alex Caruso	65	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-4	2	15.3	17.0	-1.72	17.8	16.2	1.59
Torrey Craig	38	37	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.11	-6	0	-6	16.6	15.3	1.32	16.2	17.9	-1.71
Nikola Vucevic	77	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.32	1	-7	8	16.0	15.1	0.97	17.3	17.2	0.17
DeMar DeRozan	81	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.29	-2	-4	2	15.2	19.0	-3.75	17.6	15.6	2.01
Andre Drummond	30	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	5	-16	16.6	15.5	1.16	16.6	17.6	-0.95
Coby White	83	82	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-7	8	16.1	14.3	1.76	17.1	18.5	-1.41

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cole Anthony	52	50	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.43	16	-10	26	18.6	15.8	2.76	16.8	14.8	1.93
Goga Bitadze	22	23	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.42	10	-4	14	21.0	16.2	4.75	17.3	15.4	1.93
Jonathan Isaac	46	45	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.25	10	-4	14	18.3	16.4	1.94	15.2	16.4	-1.28
Franz Wagner	78	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.38	3	3	0	18.0	14.1	3.98	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Gary Harris	39	40	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	-7	20	16.6	17.8	-1.18	16.8	15.1	1.74
Paolo Banchero	77	77	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.33	1	5	-4	17.2	17.8	-0.62	15.7	16.3	-0.60
Joe Ingles	18	18	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	3	0	14.1	18.0	-3.98	15.9	15.8	0.07
Moritz Wagner	17	16	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.04	2	4	-2	17.8	17.2	0.65	15.2	16.0	-0.78
Wendell Carter Jr.	48	49	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.03	-7	13	-20	16.2	18.4	-2.12	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Jalen Suggs	49	50	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.11	-8	14	-22	15.6	19.1	-3.56	15.6	16.1	-0.45
Markelle Fultz	34	34	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.00	-13	19	-32	16.4	17.8	-1.32	14.4	16.6	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.51,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.38,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.2,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.66,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.9,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.93,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 104, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.21,0.46,0.61,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.82,0.54,0.81,0.72,0.97,0.92,1	89.2%
PHX 93, HOU 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.26,0.35,0.47,0.61,0.48,0.57,0.91,0.46,0.69,0.89,0.9,0.98,1	88.4%
PHI 125, CLE 127	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.63,0.57,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.32,0.41,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.85,0.74,0.54,0.69,0.66,0.94,0.96,0.54,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.74,1	87.7%