NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	125		Excitement	12.3 [15]		MVP	Saddiq Bey (ATL): +68.8%
Atlanta Hawks	126		Comeback	14.7 [109]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (TOR): -12.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Barnes	0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.39	0.04	0.35	-0.00	14	67%	0.54	5	-0.14	8	100%	0.06
Gary Trent Jr.	0.22	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.32,0.22	0.09	0.16	0.03	12	67%	0.25	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jontay Porter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	0.02	0.01	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Bruce Brown	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08	-0.01	0.09	0.00	12	42%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Thaddeus Young	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	71%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Nwora	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.02	0.11	-0.10	0.02	16	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Gradey Dick	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11	0.03	-0.14	-0.00	12	56%	-0.01	2	-0.10	3	67%	-0.01
Dennis Schroder	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	12	50%	0.05	4	-0.18	4	75%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.69	0.69	0.07	0.63	0.01	18	51%	0.72	1	-0.04	15	67%	-0.03
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.01	11	83%	0.28	5	-0.15	7	86%	0.02
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	71%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	-0.01	0.02	13	68%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	24	50%	0.21	5	-0.27	12	92%	0.11
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	17	45%	0.00	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	27.5	15.2	30.6	2.4	36.5	139.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +14.8%

ATL +4.4%

ATL +27.8%

TOR -4.5%

ATL +7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	13.2	14.8	14.5	121.4	122.3	113.9
season	14.0	14.2		111.3	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.7		118.0	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.8	13.9	13.1	11.1	13.2
ATL	15.2	16.1	11.8	16.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gradey Dick	59	58	0.78	-1.28	2.06	0.22	19	-20	39	11.3	15.7	-4.43	14.5	15.2	-0.64
Chris Boucher	26	27	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.14	14	-15	29	12.8	13.3	-0.53	16.3	14.3	1.98
Jontay Porter	43	42	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.19	14	-15	29	12.2	13.8	-1.60	15.1	14.6	0.46
Dennis Schroder	59	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.22	7	-8	15	14.8	11.0	3.86	15.5	13.9	1.59
Jordan Nwora	71	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.64	11	-12	23	12.2	15.2	-2.98	14.2	16.0	-1.78
Scottie Barnes	81	83	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	10	-21	12.8	14.5	-1.76	14.5	15.9	-1.43
Gary Trent Jr.	54	54	-0.85	0.35	-1.21	-0.30	-19	18	-37	14.3	12.0	2.30	14.5	15.1	-0.62
Bruce Brown	79	80	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.27	-22	21	-43	13.5	11.9	1.63	14.4	16.3	-1.94
Thaddeus Young	43	44	-1.15	0.65	-1.80	-0.62	-18	17	-35	14.8	12.0	2.87	15.7	14.1	1.59

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Saddiq Bey	89	89	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.34	19	-18	37	14.3	18.1	-3.87	13.3	12.4	0.85
Clint Capela	60	60	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.28	19	-18	37	14.0	15.9	-1.83	13.9	12.1	1.76
Trae Young	90	89	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.57	8	-7	15	14.8	14.6	0.21	13.6	10.1	3.50
Bogdan Bogdanovic	83	83	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.26	17	-16	33	14.1	17.5	-3.42	13.5	11.9	1.57
Jalen Johnson	91	90	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.55	6	-5	11	14.7	15.5	-0.80	13.5	10.6	2.92
Trent Forrest	13	14	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.09	-7	8	-15	14.6	14.8	-0.21	10.1	13.6	-3.50
Onyeka Okongwu	43	43	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	0.19	-18	19	-37	15.9	14.0	1.83	12.1	13.9	-1.76
Garrison Mathews	14	15	-0.41	0.91	-1.33	0.20	-21	22	-43	19.3	14.1	5.20	12.0	13.4	-1.36
Patty Mills	32	32	-0.46	0.96	-1.41	0.07	-18	19	-37	16.3	14.1	2.15	11.6	13.9	-2.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.68,0.31,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 96, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.42,1	90.0%
NYK 85, SEA 86	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.58,1	89.8%
NJN 92, CHH 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.75,0.87,0.81,0.64,0.55,0.58,1	89.3%