NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	85		Excitement	8.7 [138]		MVP	Zach Randolph (NYK): +36.6%
Seattle SuperSonics	86		Comeback	2.5 [563]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -52.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0.37	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.37,0.37	0.14	0.22	-0.01	13	69%	0.38	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.04
David Lee	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18	0.08	0.11	0.01	5	83%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Renaldo Balkman	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.06	0.00	5	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
Jared Jeffries	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	11	46%	0.08	1	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03
Jamal Crawford	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.06,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.04	0.05	-0.09	-0.00	20	53%	0.02	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Malik Rose	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Fred Jones	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.10	-0.10	-0.00	6	17%	-0.10	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	-0.53	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.53	-0.16	-0.37	-0.00	9	21%	-0.40	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.02

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.09	0.09	-0.04	0.13	-0.00	21	42%	0.24	1	-0.15	8	75%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	12	67%	0.16	3	-0.09	6	67%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	7	56%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	6	69%	0.11	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	13	30%	-0.07	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	6	0%	-0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	31.0	15.0	28.8	2.5	36.6	137.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +1.8%

SEA +9.3%

SEA +33.9%

SEA +6.4%

NYK -1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	SEA	NBA	NYK	SEA	NBA
this game	17.2	15.4	15.4	97.7	95.6	105.7
season	15.7	14.5		103.1	99.1
opponent	15.0	15.2		107.9	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.9	18.2	19.4	15.4	17.2
SEA	15.5	14.5	14.9	16.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	23	24	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.14	-2	1	-3	18.1	16.9	1.27	16.6	14.9	1.64
Fred Jones	45	45	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.00	3	-4	7	17.9	16.5	1.44	15.0	15.7	-0.71
Renaldo Balkman	30	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-1	1	18.3	16.6	1.64	16.3	14.8	1.50
Malik Rose	10	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	2	-5	19.8	16.9	2.94	12.9	15.7	-2.77
Zach Randolph	67	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.45	3	-4	7	17.1	17.6	-0.59	15.2	15.9	-0.63
Quentin Richardson	69	72	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.45	0	-1	1	16.6	19.3	-2.70	14.9	17.2	-2.24
David Lee	60	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-1	1	16.3	19.1	-2.78	15.7	14.7	0.96
Nate Robinson	58	62	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.46	-5	4	-9	17.0	17.6	-0.53	15.4	15.2	0.19
Jamal Crawford	73	75	-0.70	0.20	-0.91	-0.67	-1	0	-1	17.2	17.3	-0.11	15.4	15.5	-0.11

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damien Wilkins	55	55	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.01	16	-15	31	15.6	15.1	0.52	17.9	16.0	1.89
Chris Wilcox	67	63	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.49	-3	4	-7	15.1	16.3	-1.19	16.7	18.5	-1.74
Nick Collison	41	41	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.15	7	-6	13	15.8	15.0	0.83	17.7	16.7	0.97
Kevin Durant	70	66	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	5	-9	15.0	16.6	-1.64	16.9	18.1	-1.19
Luke Ridnour	31	31	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	-5	11	16.2	14.9	1.29	16.6	17.5	-0.90
Delonte West	55	53	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.50	-10	11	-21	15.6	15.0	0.66	16.8	17.8	-0.93
Earl Watson	59	56	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.35	-5	6	-11	14.9	16.2	-1.29	17.5	16.6	0.90
Johan Petro	27	26	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	-4	9	15.1	15.5	-0.38	17.5	17.1	0.43
Kurt Thomas	45	44	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.31	-7	8	-15	15.6	15.2	0.40	17.2	17.2	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 78, MEM 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.68,0.72,0.56,0.58,1	91.3%
PHX 110, SAS 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.44,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.96,0.94,0.85,1	91.2%
CLE 99, WAS 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.95,0.89,0.89,0.82,1	91.0%