NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	134		Excitement	10.2 [64]		MVP	Harrison Barnes (SAC): +47.0%
Golden State Warriors	133		Comeback	2.8 [401]		LVP	Kevin Huerter (SAC): -27.1%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Harrison Barnes	0.47	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.5,0.47,0.47	0.28	0.21	0.02	24	75%	0.49	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Domantas Sabonis	0.28	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.28	0.09	0.16	-0.03	11	82%	0.41	3	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.00	12	54%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
De'Aaron Fox	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.11	0.19	-0.07	0.01	16	72%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Davion Mitchell	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.01	0.01	5	83%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Trey Lyles	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	5	40%	0.04	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	-0.27	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.27	-0.01	-0.26	0.00	10	52%	-0.22	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.20

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.43,0.46	0.46	0.21	0.24	-0.01	19	70%	0.54	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.10	0.06	-0.00	8	85%	0.23	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	-0.00	0.02	6	117%	0.16	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	14	50%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Brandin Podziemski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	36%	-0.02	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.05
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.16,0.25,0.19,0.22,-0.26	-0.26	0.15	-0.38	0.03	26	62%	0.12	2	-0.38	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	3.3	32.6	16.3	30.6	2.8	34.0	144.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +2.8%

GSW -25.5%

SAC +26.4%

SAC +38.6%

SAC +7.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	GSW	NBA	SAC	GSW	NBA
this game	14.5	14.8	14.5	134.0	137.1	113.9
season	14.0	14.3		115.6	116.2
opponent	14.4	14.8		114.1	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.0	14.2	14.8	14.8	14.5
GSW	14.8	16.5	14.6	13.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keegan Murray	80	75	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-10	21	14.1	15.9	-1.80	15.1	13.7	1.42
Domantas Sabonis	74	70	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.45	8	-7	15	14.2	15.2	-0.94	15.0	14.2	0.83
Kevin Huerter	70	70	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.31	8	-7	15	13.9	15.8	-1.87	15.0	14.3	0.73
Harrison Barnes	83	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	-1	3	14.4	14.6	-0.23	14.9	14.1	0.81
Davion Mitchell	30	28	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-12	25	14.8	14.3	0.44	16.8	14.0	2.81
De'Aaron Fox	76	74	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.45	-12	13	-25	14.2	15.2	-0.93	14.0	17.2	-3.19
Kessler Edwards	11	13	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	2	-3	16.3	14.2	2.04	13.2	15.0	-1.79
Chris Duarte	6	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	5	-9	16.5	14.3	2.17	12.6	14.9	-2.30
Malik Monk	39	39	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.21	-11	12	-23	15.7	13.6	2.10	14.4	15.1	-0.71
Trey Lyles	31	31	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	10	-19	14.9	14.2	0.69	14.2	15.1	-0.87

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	59	63	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.46	16	-17	33	14.4	15.4	-1.09	14.8	13.9	0.94
Cory Joseph	34	33	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.13	3	-4	7	14.8	14.8	0.06	15.5	14.0	1.53
Draymond Green	62	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.49	14	-15	29	14.5	15.2	-0.65	14.9	13.7	1.11
Brandin Podziemski	53	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-6	11	15.2	14.3	0.93	14.9	13.9	1.01
Klay Thompson	64	66	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.35	-1	0	-1	14.3	15.8	-1.48	14.6	14.1	0.47
Kevon Looney	34	34	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	14	-29	15.4	14.4	1.01	13.9	14.8	-0.88
Andrew Wiggins	63	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.30	-4	3	-7	14.8	14.8	-0.06	14.1	15.1	-1.00
Dario Saric	43	43	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.03	-15	14	-29	15.1	14.5	0.60	13.7	15.1	-1.42
Stephen Curry	73	77	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.38	-8	7	-15	15.0	14.2	0.71	13.9	16.2	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.43,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.11,0.36,0.1,0.37,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, MIL 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.31,0.07,0.09,0.26,0	91.6%
SAC 91, VAN 88	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.33,0.28,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.07,0.21,0.17,0.26,0	91.4%
SEA 88, GSW 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.31,0.32,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.19,0.17,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.27,0	91.3%