NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	117		Excitement	5.3 [711]		MVP	Kevin Durant (PHX): +51.3%
Phoenix Suns	119		Comeback	2499.0 [2]		LVP	Malik Monk (SAC): -9.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Domantas Sabonis	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.04	0.03	11	81%	0.18	2	-0.02	4	50%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0.15	0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.17	0.01	0.03	24	62%	0.16	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Sasha Vezenkov	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.00	-0.00	9	78%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.10	0.00	0.05	12	69%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	9	44%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.1	-0.12	-0.07	-0.10	16	39%	-0.06	5	-0.04	1	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.51	0.51	0.03	0.47	-0.00	16	66%	0.61	7	-0.09	9	100%	0.16
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.28	0.28	0.04	0.25	0.01	10	65%	0.32	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.23	-0.00	0.11	17	85%	0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	5	83%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	14	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	0.04	14	47%	-0.02	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.7	2.0	33.1	15.8	25.2	2.3	32.3	132.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +5.8%

PHX +53.7%

PHX +7.1%

SAC -16.9%

PHX +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	PHX	NBA	SAC	PHX	NBA
this game	14.7	13.2	14.5	113.6	115.5	113.9
season	14.0	14.6		115.6	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.8		113.5	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.2	14.5	14.3	17.0	14.7
PHX	14.0	13.8	13.3	11.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vezenkov	36	37	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.05	7	-9	16	15.6	14.3	1.31	13.9	12.9	0.99
Trey Lyles	30	31	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.02	9	-11	20	14.3	14.9	-0.56	13.3	13.2	0.04
Kevin Huerter	56	57	0.12	-0.62	0.75	0.15	-1	-1	0	13.9	15.8	-1.91	13.9	12.3	1.60
Alex Len	16	18	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-5	8	12.1	15.2	-3.08	16.4	12.6	3.82
De'Aaron Fox	79	80	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.72	6	-8	14	14.1	16.9	-2.85	13.9	11.0	2.88
Domantas Sabonis	86	83	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.53	-2	0	-2	15.1	12.7	2.42	12.6	15.9	-3.31
Keegan Murray	76	75	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.42	-9	7	-16	15.0	14.0	1.04	12.8	14.5	-1.74
Malik Monk	63	62	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.33	-12	10	-22	15.6	13.3	2.33	11.9	15.3	-3.38
Harrison Barnes	73	72	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.42	-11	9	-20	14.9	14.3	0.56	13.2	13.3	-0.04

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grayson Allen	77	80	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.19	21	-19	40	12.7	14.7	-1.95	15.5	12.0	3.51
Eric Gordon	52	51	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.47	10	-8	18	12.2	14.3	-2.10	15.3	14.1	1.20
Devin Booker	82	83	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.25	16	-14	30	12.7	15.2	-2.52	15.1	13.3	1.71
Kevin Durant	85	84	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.65	-4	6	-10	13.3	12.7	0.62	14.4	16.3	-1.88
Bradley Beal	84	82	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.78	-12	14	-26	14.0	10.0	3.96	13.8	18.3	-4.47
Chimezie Metu	20	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.14	2	0	2	12.1	13.5	-1.41	17.5	14.0	3.45
Drew Eubanks	23	21	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.00	-6	8	-14	15.3	12.6	2.72	12.4	15.3	-2.89
Josh Okogie	32	32	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	11	-20	14.3	12.8	1.52	14.9	14.6	0.26
Jusuf Nurkic	60	61	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.05	-8	10	-18	13.3	13.1	0.16	14.2	15.5	-1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 107, TOR 111	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.27,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.16,1	93.8%
ATL 93, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.16,1	93.7%
CHI 96, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,1	93.7%