NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	96		Excitement	6.3 [606]		MVP	Victor Oladipo (IND): +29.9%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	44.5 [92]		LVP	Lauri Markkanen (CHI): -28.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Portis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	11	67%	0.09	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Paul Zipser	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.01
David Nwaba	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	6	69%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02
Denzel Valentine	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02	0.02	-0.07	-0.02	13	56%	0.07	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Justin Holiday	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jerian Grant	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.07,-0.08	0.00	-0.09	-0.01	14	58%	0.02	4	-0.10	3	33%	-0.02
Lauri Markkanen	-0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.28	-0.10	-0.21	-0.02	15	37%	-0.22	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.3	0.30	0.04	0.27	0.01	20	61%	0.39	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.03
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	13	61%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Darren Collison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	10	70%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joe Young	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	6	58%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
TJ Leaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	12	42%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	11	42%	-0.02	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	0.2	24.2	14.5	21.4	2.3	30.3	120.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +36.1%

IND +4.3%

CHI -0.8%

IND +12.0%

CHI -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.4	14.9	14.7	101.1	103.2	107.5
season	14.2	14.8		103.2	108.3
opponent	15.0	15.0		106.7	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	13.6	15.0	15.3	17.9	15.4
IND	14.1	14.4	16.0	15.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Paul Zipser	33	35	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.04	9	-11	20	14.9	15.6	-0.66	14.7	15.1	-0.41
Jerian Grant	27	27	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.04	7	-9	16	15.4	15.4	0.05	14.9	15.0	-0.08
David Nwaba	44	45	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.05	6	-8	14	15.0	15.7	-0.73	15.2	14.8	0.40
Bobby Portis	40	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.22	7	-9	16	14.8	15.8	-1.03	14.7	15.1	-0.34
Robin Lopez	66	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-2	2	15.5	15.2	0.28	14.8	15.2	-0.37
Justin Holiday	71	71	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.53	-3	1	-4	15.4	15.3	0.10	14.9	15.1	-0.24
Denzel Valentine	66	64	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.38	-12	10	-22	15.5	15.0	0.58	15.1	14.5	0.59
Kris Dunn	68	68	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.48	-9	7	-16	15.4	15.4	-0.05	15.0	14.9	0.08
Lauri Markkanen	60	60	-0.87	0.37	-1.25	-0.43	-15	13	-28	16.0	14.3	1.62	15.1	14.7	0.32

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thaddeus Young	73	73	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.35	15	-13	28	15.0	14.9	0.05	16.1	13.0	3.02
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	75	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.35	14	-12	26	15.2	14.0	1.29	15.8	13.6	2.24
Myles Turner	63	63	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.54	5	-3	8	14.8	15.2	-0.41	15.5	15.1	0.37
Victor Oladipo	76	77	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.44	8	-6	14	14.7	15.8	-1.12	15.5	14.9	0.52
Cory Joseph	62	60	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.58	-2	4	-6	14.9	15.0	-0.08	15.1	15.7	-0.59
Joe Young	2	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.00	0	2	-2	11.5	15.0	-3.52	23.0	15.3	7.71
Darren Collison	42	43	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.10	-1	3	-4	15.1	14.8	0.31	15.0	15.7	-0.63
TJ Leaf	12	11	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.05	-7	9	-16	13.9	15.1	-1.18	13.0	15.7	-2.68
Domantas Sabonis	42	43	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.06	-9	11	-20	15.4	14.6	0.86	14.6	16.0	-1.40
Lance Stephenson	30	29	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	0.05	-13	15	-28	14.8	15.0	-0.17	14.6	15.7	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 93, POR 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.16,1	93.9%
ATL 88, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.33,0.31,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.13,0.05,0.13,0.22,0.27,1	93.4%
ATL 93, MIA 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.31,0.29,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.36,0.15,0.43,0.42,1	92.8%