NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	103		Excitement	9.2 [129]		MVP	Taurean Prince (LAL): +29.9%
Los Angeles Lakers	106		Comeback	2.0 [288]		LVP	James Harden (LAC): -23.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.22,0.22,0.17	0.01	0.16	-0.00	12	47%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
Ivica Zubac	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.08	0.03	13	73%	0.21	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Daniel Theis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	5	60%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	0.03	-0.15	0.01	18	58%	-0.03	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	-0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.07	-0.17	-0.02	17	42%	-0.06	3	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.23	-0.06	-0.18	-0.01	13	48%	-0.06	5	-0.18	5	80%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taurean Prince	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.25,0.3	0.30	0.10	0.21	0.01	8	72%	0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Christian Wood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	15	65%	0.19	3	-0.12	4	50%	-0.03
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.06	-0.01	19	61%	0.16	4	-0.15	3	67%	-0.00
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	53%	0.02	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	14	46%	0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	5	-0.19	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	28.4	14.5	26.2	1.8	39.1	136.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +93.9%

LAC -19.4%

LAC -7.6%

LAC -16.6%

LAC -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	14.5	104.0	109.3	113.9
season	14.9	14.1		116.6	114.4
opponent	14.3	14.4		114.3	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.1	16.2	14.0	15.4	15.1
LAL	13.7	15.8	13.2	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	73	72	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.18	7	-10	17	14.9	15.6	-0.67	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Daniel Theis	19	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	0	-3	14.3	15.3	-1.00	13.9	14.3	-0.46
Terance Mann	49	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-7	11	15.9	14.4	1.46	14.1	14.4	-0.24
Paul George	80	79	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.34	3	-6	9	15.0	15.5	-0.50	13.8	16.1	-2.21
Amir Coffey	27	25	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.09	-7	4	-11	15.3	15.1	0.19	14.3	14.2	0.03
Ivica Zubac	76	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-4	5	15.4	14.2	1.18	14.4	13.8	0.58
James Harden	78	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.38	-1	-2	1	15.8	12.7	3.05	14.4	13.6	0.83
Norman Powell	52	49	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.33	-4	1	-5	14.8	15.5	-0.70	14.6	13.9	0.63
Russell Westbrook	41	39	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.07	-15	12	-27	13.7	16.1	-2.41	14.6	14.0	0.60

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	78	78	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.46	5	-2	7	14.4	13.5	0.91	15.2	14.7	0.52
D'Angelo Russell	62	61	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-2	7	15.2	12.5	2.68	14.8	15.7	-0.96
Max Christie	25	26	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-10	23	15.0	14.0	0.95	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Jarred Vanderbilt	42	45	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.07	9	-6	15	14.2	14.3	-0.16	13.7	16.3	-2.67
Christian Wood	31	32	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	-4	11	15.0	13.9	1.14	15.0	15.2	-0.13
Taurean Prince	61	62	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.37	-5	8	-13	14.0	14.6	-0.56	15.4	14.7	0.67
Anthony Davis	80	83	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	7	-11	13.6	17.5	-3.90	15.1	15.3	-0.23
Austin Reaves	64	66	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.38	-7	10	-17	13.9	14.9	-0.94	15.7	13.9	1.86
Cam Reddish	42	42	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.03	-8	11	-19	13.7	14.7	-1.00	15.9	14.5	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.82,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.47,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 93, POR 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.6,0.72,0.74,0.82,0.9,0.87,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.95,1	91.1%
SAS 80, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.35,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.79,0.65,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.55,0.63,1	90.9%
MIA 101, DET 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.96,1	90.8%