NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	121		Excitement	10.4 [57]		MVP	Desmond Bane (MEM): +37.3%
Phoenix Suns	115		Comeback	13.7 [39]		LVP	Bradley Beal (PHX): -23.8%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0.37	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.35,0.37	0.09	0.25	-0.04	14	70%	0.43	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.27	0.14	0.14	0.00	20	64%	0.32	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Vince Williams Jr.	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.25,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.04	0.01	11	73%	0.17	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Luke Kennard	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.01	5	90%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Konchar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ziaire Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	10	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Marcus Smart	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	0.00	-0.10	-0.01	20	56%	0.15	5	-0.24	5	60%	-0.03
Bismack Biyombo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Santi Aldama	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.15	-0.08	-0.01	11	28%	-0.07	4	-0.14	3	67%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.00	17	62%	0.16	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.01	23	49%	0.14	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	17	49%	0.16	2	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	73%	0.08	2	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Saben Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keita Bates-Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.05	-0.02	15	53%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chimezie Metu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.18,-0.24	-0.24	-0.03	-0.20	0.00	12	43%	-0.18	1	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.8	1.8	26.5	15.6	30.1	2.5	34.5	139.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +42.8%

MEM +14.0%

MEM +16.7%

PHX -21.9%

PHX -1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	PHX	NBA	MEM	PHX	NBA
this game	13.6	13.6	14.5	113.1	109.5	113.9
season	14.8	14.6		106.3	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.3		113.5	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	13.3	13.3	15.2	12.5	13.6
PHX	12.4	13.3	12.4	16.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaren Jackson Jr.	67	69	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.25	25	-19	44	13.2	14.2	-1.04	14.8	11.3	3.45
Vince Williams Jr.	81	81	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.21	23	-17	40	13.2	14.7	-1.50	13.8	12.7	1.12
Marcus Smart	84	84	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.37	10	-4	14	13.3	14.5	-1.18	13.6	13.3	0.30
Ziaire Williams	64	62	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.43	5	1	4	12.4	15.4	-3.08	13.8	13.3	0.53
Bismack Biyombo	59	56	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.19	-5	11	-16	13.8	13.3	0.56	13.3	13.9	-0.61
Luke Kennard	46	45	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	4	-2	15.5	12.1	3.41	13.5	13.6	-0.11
Xavier Tillman	7	7	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.11	-7	13	-20	18.0	13.3	4.71	11.7	13.7	-1.99
Desmond Bane	80	77	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.26	-13	19	-32	14.8	9.9	4.91	13.0	15.2	-2.29
John Konchar	8	7	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.06	-5	11	-16	12.2	13.7	-1.46	11.7	13.7	-1.99
Santi Aldama	39	37	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.08	-5	11	-16	11.9	14.6	-2.72	12.8	14.0	-1.22

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	30	35	0.32	-0.82	1.13	-0.04	12	-18	30	12.4	14.0	-1.59	12.9	14.0	-1.10
Drew Eubanks	30	32	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.16	0	-6	6	13.7	13.5	0.13	11.7	14.4	-2.73
Devin Booker	82	83	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.26	11	-17	28	12.9	16.1	-3.28	14.2	11.6	2.54
Chimezie Metu	27	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.21	-8	2	-10	14.4	13.3	1.08	11.2	14.4	-3.18
Saben Lee	9	7	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.04	-8	2	-10	19.2	13.0	6.18	14.6	13.5	1.04
Grayson Allen	84	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.49	0	-6	6	13.4	14.3	-0.89	14.1	11.8	2.30
Jusuf Nurkic	71	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.55	2	-8	10	13.2	14.4	-1.20	14.6	11.7	2.87
Bradley Beal	82	83	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.27	-8	2	-10	13.3	14.5	-1.16	13.4	14.2	-0.79
Kevin Durant	80	82	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.45	-7	1	-8	13.7	13.1	0.59	14.1	12.1	1.98
Keita Bates-Diop	30	30	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	0.03	-24	18	-42	15.9	12.6	3.26	12.4	14.1	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.65,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.69,0.72,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.75,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.45,0.55,0.68,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 88, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.42,0	91.4%
LAL 97, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.67,0.27,0	90.6%
UTA 126, PHX 118	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.54,0.33,0.17,0	90.4%