NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	126		Excitement	8.9 [118]		MVP	Kyle Korver (UTA): +39.2%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	7.2 [89]		LVP	Steve Nash (PHX): -16.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.39	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.29,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.10	0.30	0.01	4	93%	0.43	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.10
Carlos Boozer	0.22	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.15,0.22	0.07	0.14	-0.01	11	72%	0.41	4	-0.20	10	90%	0.07
Mehmet Okur	0.20	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.14	0.03	18	64%	0.27	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	0.00	7	69%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.06	0.02	18	61%	0.26	5	-0.20	5	60%	-0.00
Matt Harpring	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	60%	0.06	1	-0.04	8	50%	-0.05
CJ Miles	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.01	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.07	5	80%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.15	0.14	-0.00	16	74%	0.45	6	-0.16	18	72%	-0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14	0.14	0.07	0.07	0.01	12	62%	0.15	1	-0.01	8	50%	-0.11
Raja Bell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.01	14	63%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.09	-0.03	11	36%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	58%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	4	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	10	32%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	0.03	-0.18	0.02	14	61%	0.03	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	1.7	32.4	15.6	27.1	1.8	39.0	147.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +39.4%

UTA +30.8%

UTA +2.7%

PHX -21.8%

PHX -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	14.3	13.5	15.4	121.2	114.6	105.7
season	15.5	13.8		111.2	111.1
opponent	15.6	15.0		106.5	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.7	15.5	13.6	13.6	14.3
PHX	11.9	13.3	13.6	15.2	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	35	34	0.93	-0.43	1.35	0.31	21	-13	34	13.9	14.6	-0.68	15.6	12.5	3.10
Mehmet Okur	86	86	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.36	11	-3	14	14.3	14.4	-0.13	13.4	13.8	-0.33
Deron Williams	90	91	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-1	10	14.5	13.3	1.21	13.4	14.2	-0.77
Paul Millsap	40	38	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.06	13	-5	18	13.9	14.6	-0.63	14.7	12.8	1.94
Ronnie Brewer	89	88	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.22	-4	12	-16	14.0	16.1	-2.02	12.8	17.7	-4.97
Carlos Boozer	57	59	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.41	-11	19	-30	14.9	13.7	1.16	13.2	13.8	-0.62
Matt Harpring	52	51	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	6	-4	15.3	13.3	1.98	14.1	12.9	1.21
CJ Miles	32	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	11	-14	14.0	14.5	-0.44	12.3	14.0	-1.70
Ronnie Price	14	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	9	-10	13.3	14.5	-1.21	14.2	13.4	0.77
Jarron Collins	25	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.18	3	5	-2	13.8	14.5	-0.65	12.3	13.8	-1.46

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	53	57	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-8	8	13.4	13.6	-0.22	14.1	14.7	-0.59
Steve Nash	80	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-12	16	12.8	15.7	-2.85	14.1	15.0	-0.82
Amar'e Stoudemire	87	86	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-9	10	12.9	16.6	-3.72	14.2	14.8	-0.53
Raja Bell	94	94	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.24	1	-9	10	13.4	14.4	-1.05	14.1	16.2	-2.06
Gordan Giricek	22	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.03	-9	1	-10	15.4	13.0	2.39	15.0	14.1	0.91
Grant Hill	48	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	3	-14	12.7	14.1	-1.42	14.4	14.3	0.08
Leandro Barbosa	64	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	3	-14	14.3	12.1	2.23	14.4	14.3	0.10
Shaquille O'Neal	67	67	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.34	-15	7	-22	14.3	11.9	2.41	14.9	13.4	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.47,0.6,0.45,0.54,0.33,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 88, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.34,0.08,0	91.1%
MIA 108, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.73,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.66,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.34,0.46,0.31,0.29,0.15,0.08,0	90.9%
SEA 87, HOU 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.63,0.69,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.3,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.31,0.09,0	90.9%