NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	7.9 [148]		MVP	Derek Harper (LAL): +44.5%
Phoenix Suns	91		Comeback	5.8 [165]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -30.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Harper	0.45	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.45,0.45	0.17	0.29	0.01	9	100%	0.47	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	19	58%	0.14	3	-0.08	5	20%	-0.09
Rick Fox	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	14	52%	0.10	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Rodman	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	5	54%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.05
Travis Knight	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	2	67%	-0.00	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	11	42%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	-0.31	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.19,-0.32,-0.32,-0.31	-0.12	-0.19	-0.01	11	37%	-0.14	3	-0.17	5	80%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	5	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.05	0.00	13	46%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.04,0	0.00	-0.10	0.06	-0.04	12	44%	0.12	4	-0.12	3	33%	-0.02
Shawn Respert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	0.05	-0.08	0.05	13	69%	0.07	3	-0.15	3	100%	0.02
Luc Longley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	15	48%	-0.02	2	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,0,-0.08,-0.25	-0.25	-0.08	-0.18	-0.00	13	33%	-0.25	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	28.4	17.4	23.2	2.5	44.5	139.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +66.4%

PHX -8.9%

LAL +11.0%

PHX -18.3%

PHX -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.8	102.1	96.8	99.6
season	14.9	15.3		104.7	102.7
opponent	15.9	15.8		101.3	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.9	15.6	17.0	13.6	15.2
PHX	15.7	16.3	15.7	13.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	66	67	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.45	15	-9	24	15.0	15.8	-0.79	16.0	13.3	2.71
Dennis Rodman	58	59	0.81	-0.30	1.11	0.39	14	-8	22	15.5	14.8	0.65	15.5	14.9	0.51
Rick Fox	67	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.32	9	-3	12	14.8	16.1	-1.27	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Derek Harper	63	63	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.51	2	4	-2	14.8	16.1	-1.33	14.9	16.0	-1.05
Eddie Jones	67	68	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	0	6	14.5	16.9	-2.44	15.2	15.4	-0.16
Robert Horry	6	5	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.04	-2	8	-10	15.0	15.2	-0.22	14.2	15.3	-1.13
Kobe Bryant	53	53	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.08	2	4	-2	15.9	14.4	1.49	15.0	15.6	-0.52
Derek Fisher	32	31	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.19	4	2	2	16.1	14.8	1.33	16.0	14.9	1.05
Travis Knight	35	35	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.02	-10	16	-26	15.5	15.0	0.44	14.9	15.5	-0.51
Sean Rooks	28	24	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.11	-10	16	-26	16.3	14.7	1.58	14.6	15.5	-0.86

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rex Chapman	65	66	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.28	12	-18	30	14.6	16.9	-2.31	14.5	16.8	-2.23
Shawn Respert	8	9	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-8	10	18.0	15.0	2.99	15.8	15.2	0.63
Joe Kleine	12	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	-3	0	14.7	15.3	-0.59	15.3	15.2	0.07
Tom Gugliotta	70	70	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.33	8	-14	22	15.0	16.2	-1.21	14.3	17.8	-3.51
Clifford Robinson	49	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	1	-8	14.6	16.0	-1.49	15.8	14.5	1.37
Chris Morris	11	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.15	-9	3	-12	12.5	15.6	-3.18	15.5	15.2	0.29
George McCloud	74	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.37	-2	-4	2	15.6	14.2	1.35	15.1	15.6	-0.50
Danny Manning	34	36	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.11	-13	7	-20	16.7	14.4	2.26	16.6	14.3	2.30
Jason Kidd	88	88	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.34	-6	0	-6	15.1	18.3	-3.28	15.3	14.6	0.69
Luc Longley	59	58	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.49	-12	6	-18	16.4	13.4	3.02	15.6	14.6	0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.67,0.68,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.38,0.54,0.67,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 96, WAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.78,0.7,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.26,0	92.2%
CHI 88, POR 84	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.42,0	91.3%
DEN 93, SAS 87	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.55,0.16,0	91.2%