NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	118		Excitement	8.8 [163]		MVP	Luke Kornet (BOS): +35.6%
Boston Celtics	120		Comeback	3.6 [437]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (BOS): -11.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen McDaniels	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.31,0.24,0.24	0.08	0.15	-0.00	10	59%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Scottie Barnes	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.05,0.16	0.10	0.09	0.03	24	58%	0.20	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	8	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.13	0.16	0.29	18	61%	0.03	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.29
Chris Boucher	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malachi Flynn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,-0.01	0.06	-0.06	0.02	12	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.12
Precious Achiuwa	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	10	27%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.36	0.36	0.16	0.21	0.02	11	83%	0.40	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Derrick White	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,0.04,-0.03,0.21,0.21	0.21	-0.06	0.24	-0.02	19	45%	0.27	3	-0.06	9	100%	0.11
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	-0.01	0.03	16	84%	0.32	7	-0.23	5	80%	-0.01
Neemias Queta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Svi Mykhailiuk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	7	64%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Oshae Brissett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	10	45%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.00	15	44%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	24.2	15.2	24.6	2.3	44.1	135.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.8%

BOS +24.3%

BOS +16.5%

TOR -28.6%

BOS +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	14.7	14.7	14.5	120.4	122.4	113.9
season	14.0	14.7		111.3	121.4
opponent	14.7	14.7		109.6	117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.4	14.0	13.0	16.4	14.7
BOS	12.8	15.4	15.2	15.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen McDaniels	30	27	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.05	8	-10	18	15.9	14.1	1.83	16.1	14.2	1.86
Precious Achiuwa	5	5	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-3	4	9.4	14.9	-5.55	16.4	14.6	1.77
Malachi Flynn	12	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-4	6	11.7	15.1	-3.32	15.2	14.7	0.50
Otto Porter Jr.	16	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.00	-5	3	-8	14.5	14.7	-0.20	14.0	14.9	-0.87
Chris Boucher	12	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.06	-8	6	-14	17.5	14.3	3.23	15.7	14.6	1.07
Jakob Poeltl	49	49	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.01	-9	7	-16	14.1	15.2	-1.04	14.2	15.2	-1.00
OG Anunoby	79	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-6	10	14.9	13.7	1.21	14.4	15.8	-1.32
Pascal Siakam	81	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.56	8	-10	18	14.7	14.6	0.09	15.0	13.3	1.72
Dennis Schroder	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.44	2	-4	6	15.3	13.3	1.96	15.3	13.3	2.01
Scottie Barnes	77	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.36	-3	1	-4	14.5	15.4	-0.91	14.6	15.0	-0.35
Gary Trent Jr.	61	62	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	8	-18	14.2	15.4	-1.24	13.7	16.4	-2.67

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jaylen Brown	83	84	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.37	12	-10	22	14.3	17.3	-3.08	14.8	14.0	0.77
Derrick White	74	72	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-5	12	14.3	16.0	-1.63	15.0	13.7	1.27
Jrue Holiday	65	66	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-6	14	14.0	16.1	-2.01	15.0	13.9	1.17
Oshae Brissett	31	32	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	-1	4	14.8	14.7	0.12	13.4	15.3	-1.87
Luke Kornet	68	67	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	4	-6	14.7	14.7	-0.01	15.2	13.5	1.77
Sam Hauser	70	71	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.44	-8	10	-18	14.6	14.9	-0.29	14.8	14.2	0.66
Neemias Queta	29	29	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	-1	4	15.2	14.5	0.69	14.0	15.0	-0.99
Payton Pritchard	51	51	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	5	-8	15.7	13.6	2.13	14.0	15.3	-1.30
Svi Mykhailiuk	15	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	8	-14	17.7	14.2	3.55	12.9	15.0	-2.02
Dalano Banton	4	4	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	6	-10	16.0	14.7	1.33	16.5	14.6	1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.84,0.66,0.62,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.31,0.55,0.33,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 88, SAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.83,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.78,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.81,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.08,0.31,0.69,1	90.1%
TOR 116, CHA 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.89,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.86,0.93,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.47,0.21,0.33,0.53,0.71,0.67,0.72,1	90.0%
POR 88, BOS 90	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.66,0.73,1	89.7%