NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	117		Excitement	7.1 [412]		MVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): +28.4%
Atlanta Hawks	110		Comeback	16.9 [101]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): -23.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Aaron Fox	0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.13	-0.01	20	66%	0.37	3	-0.09	7	43%	-0.02
Domantas Sabonis	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.05	0.02	17	66%	0.18	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.06
Trey Lyles	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	12	76%	0.18	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.09	-0.01	5	50%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keegan Murray	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	12	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	10	71%	0.09	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	7	67%	0.12	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.02	-0.06	14	47%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	-0.04	0.03	-0.06	14	40%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.2,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.06	-0.02	18	56%	0.14	4	-0.13	7	100%	0.04
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.06	-0.04	12	53%	0.04	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.05	-0.20	-0.01	20	45%	-0.17	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	23.1	14.7	29.1	1.5	31.5	127.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +76.1%

ATL -21.7%

ATL -11.7%

SAC +5.1%

SAC +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	ATL	NBA	SAC	ATL	NBA
this game	14.3	14.4	14.5	115.8	110.0	113.9
season	14.0	14.2		115.6	115.7
opponent	14.3	14.8		118.0	113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.3	15.5	12.8	14.8	14.3
ATL	13.9	13.8	12.4	17.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malik Monk	61	64	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.24	18	-11	29	13.6	15.3	-1.70	15.0	13.3	1.69
Chris Duarte	50	49	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-3	13	14.4	14.2	0.24	15.5	13.3	2.22
De'Aaron Fox	85	83	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	14.7	12.4	2.28	14.8	12.3	2.49
Keegan Murray	77	76	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.59	-3	10	-13	14.1	14.9	-0.81	14.0	15.5	-1.55
Domantas Sabonis	73	73	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.55	-4	11	-15	14.1	14.9	-0.77	14.7	13.3	1.41
Alex Len	28	27	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.26	11	-4	15	14.9	14.1	0.77	13.3	14.7	-1.41
Harrison Barnes	27	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	11	-15	14.3	14.3	-0.00	14.1	14.4	-0.33
Trey Lyles	53	53	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.21	4	3	1	14.4	14.2	0.13	13.6	15.2	-1.53
Kevin Huerter	22	21	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	12	-17	14.5	14.2	0.26	14.0	14.5	-0.46
Davion Mitchell	29	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.10	-1	8	-9	14.7	14.1	0.55	12.6	15.0	-2.43

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	19	17	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.03	7	-14	21	13.5	14.6	-1.09	12.4	14.7	-2.34
Onyeka Okongwu	49	49	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.29	-11	4	-15	13.5	15.2	-1.63	14.4	14.2	0.18
Bogdan Bogdanovic	57	55	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.26	-14	7	-21	14.0	14.9	-0.92	14.0	14.6	-0.61
Patty Mills	23	24	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.15	-11	4	-15	12.8	14.8	-1.99	16.6	13.6	3.00
Saddiq Bey	69	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.49	5	-12	17	14.7	13.6	1.04	14.0	14.8	-0.82
Dejounte Murray	76	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.49	5	-12	17	14.7	13.2	1.57	14.1	15.0	-0.93
Clint Capela	57	59	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.55	2	-9	11	15.1	13.3	1.81	14.5	14.1	0.39
Jalen Johnson	71	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.34	-7	0	-7	14.3	14.4	-0.12	14.3	14.2	0.15
Trae Young	79	83	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.28	-11	4	-15	14.6	13.3	1.36	14.4	13.6	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.85,0.78,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.81,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.87,0.86,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.83,0.91,0.86,0.59,0.53,0.45,0.21,0.09,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 92, MIA 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.21,0.05,0.02,0	91.2%
OKC 114, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.9,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.62,0.22,0.06,0,0	90.6%
SAC 100, NOH 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.73,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.88,0.81,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.72,0.63,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.31,0.22,0.07,0,0	90.3%