NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	113		Excitement	8.9 [150]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +37.9%
Chicago Bulls	118		Comeback	5.3 [176]		LVP	Coby White (CHI): -8.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.00	21	49%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Onyeka Okongwu	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	6	79%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Garrison Mathews	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	2	150%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.01	10	62%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	9	59%	0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Trent Forrest	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	8	62%	0.07	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Seth Lundy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	17	51%	0.12	6	-0.18	7	86%	-0.03
Dejounte Murray	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.08,0,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	15	50%	0.05	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.3,0.38	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.01	17	61%	0.43	1	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.15,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21	0.21	0.07	0.14	0.01	14	56%	0.21	0	0.00	6	83%	0.03
Andre Drummond	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.04	0.02	13	86%	0.25	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	6	83%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	10	42%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Williams	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Coby White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	22	37%	-0.06	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.4	28.5	14.8	26.3	2.5	37.2	134.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +6.8%

CHI +1.4%

CHI +15.9%

CHI +25.4%

CHI +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.5	14.6	14.5	114.1	119.2	113.9
season	14.2	14.5		115.7	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.3		115.1	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.3	13.4	14.5	14.6	14.5
CHI	13.0	16.6	14.2	14.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trent Forrest	7	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.12	4	-9	13	13.1	14.6	-1.42	19.1	14.3	4.86
Wesley Matthews	12	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-4	3	14.6	14.4	0.14	12.7	14.9	-2.23
Bogdan Bogdanovic	66	65	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-8	11	14.6	14.2	0.33	13.8	16.3	-2.50
Seth Lundy	3	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	-1	-3	20.0	14.3	5.71	15.0	14.6	0.38
Onyeka Okongwu	45	44	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.15	2	-7	9	14.6	14.4	0.25	14.3	14.9	-0.64
Garrison Mathews	28	27	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-2	-1	14.7	14.4	0.40	13.4	15.1	-1.68
Dejounte Murray	69	70	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.32	0	-5	5	14.4	14.5	-0.05	15.3	13.0	2.35
Trae Young	83	84	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-2	-1	14.2	15.8	-1.61	14.2	16.9	-2.72
Clint Capela	54	55	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	2	-9	14.4	14.6	-0.25	14.9	14.3	0.64
Saddiq Bey	68	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	2	-9	14.4	14.6	-0.17	15.6	12.4	3.26
Jalen Johnson	60	61	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.31	-9	4	-13	14.5	14.4	0.09	14.6	14.7	-0.14

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ayo Dosunmu	75	75	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-6	17	13.9	16.7	-2.80	13.9	16.1	-2.14
DeMar DeRozan	83	83	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.32	8	-3	11	14.7	14.1	0.67	14.7	13.3	1.37
Alex Caruso	61	61	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.44	3	2	1	15.0	13.9	1.10	14.3	14.8	-0.53
Andre Drummond	80	77	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.37	4	1	3	15.0	12.9	2.08	14.7	13.6	1.06
Coby White	76	76	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.18	7	-2	9	14.3	15.6	-1.28	14.5	14.4	0.04
Jevon Carter	41	42	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	1	3	13.8	15.2	-1.44	14.8	14.2	0.56
Terry Taylor	16	18	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	1	3	13.4	14.9	-1.42	14.5	14.5	0.04
Patrick Williams	50	50	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.11	-4	9	-13	14.8	14.5	0.31	14.7	14.3	0.39
Dalen Terry	13	13	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.12	-12	17	-29	18.7	14.0	4.68	13.7	14.6	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.23,0.29,0.33,0.24,0.16,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.61,0.55,0.64,0.69,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 104, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.72,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.85,1	92.8%
SAC 106, MEM 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.5,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.52,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.64,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.85,1	92.1%
POR 109, MIN 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.79,0.68,0.91,1	91.5%