inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 124 Excitement5.8 [632] MVPCade Cunningham (DET): +24.2%
Atlanta Hawks 130 Comeback1.0 [1226] LVPAlec Burks (DET): -9.5%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Cade Cunningham0.240,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.240.270.050.082475%0.333-0.08989%0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic0.080,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.080.12-0.030.001768%0.122-0.04367%-0.01
Marcus Sasser0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.00383%0.0400.0000%0.00
James Wiseman0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.040.010.01583%0.072-0.0420%-0.02
Marvin Bagley III-0.010,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.04-0.020.021261%0.042-0.05475%-0.00
Joe Harris-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00125%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Jaden Ivey-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.010.011348%0.052-0.06560%-0.01
Isaiah Livers-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.050.00-0.0130%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Ausar Thompson-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.02520%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Alec Burks-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.08-0.05-0.031125%-0.1000.002100%0.01

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Clint Capela0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.090.02-0.011168%0.131-0.003100%0.02
Trae Young0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.100.01-0.011767%0.265-0.141292%0.05
Saddiq Bey0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.09-0.00-0.011560%0.131-0.04560%-0.02
Onyeka Okongwu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.080.020.01687%0.122-0.034100%0.02
Dejounte Murray0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.12-0.000.031371%0.101-0.02250%-0.00
De'Andre Hunter0,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.040.040.030.030.021563%0.134-0.0900%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03250%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Garrison Mathews0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01555%0.042-0.0410%-0.01
Seth Lundy0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.01.524.415.528.72.342.3144.8
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +35.5%
ATL +8.4%
ATL +12.0%
DET -7.0%
ATL +1.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETATLNBADETATLNBA
this game12.914.514.5119.2122.6113.9
season14.214.2108.4115.7
opponent14.314.3118.0117.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET16.812.713.39.512.9
ATL13.215.514.414.814.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Sasser45490.06-0.560.61-0.2410-162612.413.3-0.8114.314.7-0.34
Isaiah Livers87-0.09-0.410.310.02-4-2-218.512.46.0615.714.41.29
Joe Harris2725-0.15-0.350.20-0.181-7812.812.9-0.1715.414.21.11
James Wiseman5555-0.18-0.320.13-0.304-101412.613.2-0.5714.314.8-0.49
Bojan Bogdanovic8486-0.23-0.270.03-0.354-101412.713.9-1.3014.913.01.86
Marvin Bagley III4950-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.02-104-1413.212.60.5714.814.30.47
Ausar Thompson4245-0.35-0.15-0.190.12-1610-2612.912.90.0414.314.7-0.38
Alec Burks5151-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.21-5-1-413.012.80.1913.215.7-2.46
Cade Cunningham9496-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.38-2-4212.912.70.2314.712.91.78
Jaden Ivey6566-0.44-0.06-0.38-0.09-126-1812.813.1-0.3214.614.30.34

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Trae Young85840.63-0.130.770.1716-102614.016.5-2.4512.614.0-1.36
Saddiq Bey94930.55-0.050.610.299-31214.415.0-0.5512.615.8-3.26
Clint Capela61610.480.020.470.1910-41415.013.91.0412.913.0-0.12
De'Andre Hunter66640.420.080.340.169-31214.215.0-0.8712.513.5-1.05
Dejounte Murray74720.310.190.120.2524-214.414.8-0.3913.212.30.81
Onyeka Okongwu50490.110.39-0.270.1106-614.015.0-0.9613.212.60.64
Seth Lundy18170.010.49-0.47-0.0215-413.914.6-0.7515.512.43.07
Garrison Mathews4747-0.000.50-0.510.23-814-2215.913.42.5613.212.70.49
Wesley Matthews3533-0.030.53-0.550.24-915-2415.114.20.8612.713.0-0.35


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.78,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.83,0.77,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 101, DAL 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,195.3%
VAN 103, SEA 1170.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.67,0.74,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.97,0.95,1,0.98,1,194.6%
SAC 105, GSW 1170.5,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.87,0.85,0.78,0.86,0.87,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,194.6%