NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	101		Excitement	5.4 [751]		MVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL): +20.1%
Dallas Mavericks	111		Comeback	1.1 [584]		LVP	Cameron Payne (PHX): -8.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.03	-0.00	22	61%	0.16	5	-0.12	13	92%	0.05
Cameron Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.03	10	55%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Wainright	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	64%	0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	13	54%	0.03	4	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Deandre Ayton	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.01	4	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Cameron Payne	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.24	-0.00	0.04	13	92%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.00	0.00	6	100%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	1	150%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Sterling Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Reggie Bullock	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	6	54%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.03	-0.00	25	45%	0.03	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Jalen Brunson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	17	47%	0.01	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	3.4	31.5	15.3	29.6	2.8	32.0	143.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +31.3%

DAL +2.1%

DAL +5.7%

DAL +12.8%

PHX -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	13.8	16.8	14.5	108.6	116.8	110.8
season	14.2	15.6		114.0	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.7		109.2	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.4	13.8	12.7	14.4	13.8
DAL	14.4	15.5	17.8	19.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bismack Biyombo	8	9	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.15	7	-17	24	13.7	13.8	-0.09	19.9	16.5	3.44
Aaron Holiday	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	10.7	13.9	-3.27	14.0	16.9	-2.90
Ish Wainright	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	10.7	13.9	-3.27	14.0	16.9	-2.90
JaVale McGee	21	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.16	1	-11	12	11.9	14.4	-2.55	17.0	16.7	0.28
Chris Paul	46	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-7	4	13.9	13.8	0.08	16.5	17.0	-0.48
Landry Shamet	19	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.20	1	-11	12	11.8	14.4	-2.56	16.9	16.8	0.10
Cameron Payne	31	32	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.15	-1	-9	8	13.2	14.1	-0.90	15.4	17.5	-2.02
Mikal Bridges	60	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-3	-4	14.3	12.9	1.42	17.7	15.2	2.50
Jae Crowder	70	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	6	-22	14.3	12.5	1.79	16.5	17.6	-1.11
Deandre Ayton	63	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.06	-15	5	-20	14.4	12.6	1.76	16.5	17.2	-0.71
Devin Booker	83	84	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	2	-14	14.1	11.3	2.83	16.9	15.9	0.98
Cameron Johnson	58	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.10	-13	3	-16	13.7	14.0	-0.28	17.0	16.4	0.61

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen Brunson	74	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.10	16	-6	22	17.4	14.7	2.71	14.0	13.2	0.80
Maxi Kleber	67	66	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.01	16	-6	22	17.3	15.4	1.91	13.6	14.5	-0.92
Dorian Finney-Smith	74	74	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	-1	12	16.7	17.2	-0.53	14.3	12.1	2.17
Luka Doncic	71	71	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.05	14	-4	18	16.7	17.0	-0.30	14.3	12.5	1.80
Frank Ntilikina	22	19	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	6	-2	12.9	18.0	-5.10	12.8	14.1	-1.31
Reggie Bullock	73	73	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	1	8	18.0	12.9	5.10	14.1	12.8	1.31
Davis Bertans	28	26	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.24	-3	13	-16	16.6	16.9	-0.29	12.3	14.4	-2.16
Spencer Dinwiddie	39	38	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.13	-2	12	-14	16.5	17.0	-0.45	13.3	14.2	-0.96
Sterling Brown	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	12.0	16.9	-4.93	8.5	13.9	-5.45
Marquese Chriss	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	12.0	16.9	-4.93	8.5	13.9	-5.45
Josh Green	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	14	-18	12.0	16.9	-4.93	8.5	13.9	-5.45
Dwight Powell	18	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	13	-16	16.3	16.9	-0.62	15.7	13.4	2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.72,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 97, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.84,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.89,0.97,1,1,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
CHI 74, DAL 89	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.91,0.95,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
NYK 89, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%