NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	112		Excitement	7.8 [307]		MVP	Paul George (LAC): +58.1%
LA Clippers	113		Comeback	36.3 [65]		LVP	Draymond Green (GSW): -26.7%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moses Moody	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.15	0.09	0.08	0.02	13	58%	0.15	0	0.00	10	90%	0.02
Brandin Podziemski	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.00	9	67%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.01	13	57%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.02	6	43%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kevon Looney	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.06	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Cory Joseph	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,0.09,0,-0.05	0.05	-0.10	-0.01	18	55%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Dario Saric	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	7	43%	-0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.27	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.27	0.07	-0.31	0.02	15	66%	-0.20	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.58	0.58	0.14	0.47	0.04	17	64%	0.60	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.05	14	64%	0.08	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.00	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	100%	0.10	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	16	62%	0.25	3	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	5	57%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Terance Mann	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	6	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	12	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.7	29.4	15.4	27.4	2.5	38.5	140.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +88.5%

GSW -20.3%

GSW -34.8%

LAC +11.0%

LAC +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	LAC	NBA	GSW	LAC	NBA
this game	14.7	14.1	14.5	112.0	113.0	113.9
season	14.3	14.9		116.2	116.6
opponent	14.4	14.4		114.2	114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.2	13.5	13.8	19.0	14.7
LAC	16.1	14.8	12.0	13.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Kuminga	33	33	0.21	-0.71	0.93	0.07	5	-6	11	14.4	14.9	-0.50	13.5	14.4	-0.92
Kevon Looney	38	40	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.05	5	-6	11	14.0	15.1	-1.09	14.4	13.9	0.46
Cory Joseph	34	34	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.08	1	-2	3	14.3	14.9	-0.57	13.6	14.4	-0.82
Dario Saric	43	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	9	-19	14.1	15.2	-1.11	14.4	13.9	0.44
Klay Thompson	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-1	1	15.0	13.9	1.10	13.9	14.6	-0.79
Stephen Curry	74	74	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.57	2	-3	5	14.8	14.5	0.22	14.6	12.7	1.95
Brandin Podziemski	75	75	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.54	-1	0	-1	15.2	13.1	2.16	13.5	15.8	-2.27
Moses Moody	66	66	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.59	-1	0	-1	14.7	14.8	-0.10	14.4	13.6	0.82
Draymond Green	67	67	-0.71	0.21	-0.93	-0.54	-6	5	-11	14.9	14.4	0.50	14.4	13.5	0.92

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norman Powell	64	65	1.00	-0.50	1.49	0.58	14	-13	27	12.5	16.9	-4.31	14.2	15.7	-1.47
Kawhi Leonard	80	80	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.50	8	-7	15	13.8	15.2	-1.44	14.9	13.9	1.00
Paul George	78	77	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.53	5	-4	9	14.3	13.4	0.94	15.3	12.8	2.49
Russell Westbrook	41	39	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.85	-11	12	-23	13.4	14.6	-1.24	14.1	15.1	-1.06
Terance Mann	49	50	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.58	-5	6	-11	14.8	13.4	1.44	14.4	15.0	-0.60
Ivica Zubac	49	51	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.16	1	0	1	14.4	13.8	0.56	13.5	15.9	-2.35
Kobe Brown	23	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.02	-6	7	-13	15.7	13.6	2.02	15.1	14.6	0.56
Daniel Theis	44	42	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.25	-1	2	-3	14.5	13.8	0.67	16.0	13.7	2.28
James Harden	72	74	-0.31	0.81	-1.12	-0.31	0	1	-1	14.6	12.9	1.68	14.8	14.4	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.27,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.25,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.22,0.21,0.19,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.32,0.04,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.41,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.28,1	91.2%
ATL 107, SAC 108	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.27,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.08,0.32,0.42,1	90.8%
GSW 123, SAC 124	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.35,0.41,0.36,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.34,0.47,0.53,0.33,0.11,0.06,0.13,1	90.4%