NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	80		Excitement	8.0 [240]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +37.5%
Atlanta Hawks	83		Comeback	11.9 [69]		LVP	Derrick Rose (CHI): -57.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.31,0.28	0.08	0.21	0.00	3	100%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	3	133%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	14	54%	0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Carlos Boozer	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	11	46%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Joakim Noah	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15	-0.00	-0.14	0.01	6	59%	-0.07	2	-0.08	10	70%	-0.11
Derrick Rose	-0.58	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.58	-0.27	-0.36	-0.05	21	27%	-0.26	6	-0.32	3	67%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.37	0.38	0.10	0.25	-0.03	20	66%	0.43	4	-0.06	7	57%	-0.13
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	10	48%	0.10	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	13	44%	0.06	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	5	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.23,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.05	20	29%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	29.2	15.7	26.8	0.3	33.8	133.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +24.6%

ATL +7.1%

CHI -8.0%

ATL +27.1%

CHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	17.3	16.4	15.5	95.2	95.4	105.7
season	15.7	16.5		106.5	104.0
opponent	15.5	15.9		105.1	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.2	15.9	18.4	18.7	17.3
ATL	15.1	18.3	15.1	17.3	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	23	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.11	-3	0	-3	18.4	16.9	1.54	17.4	16.0	1.42
Keith Bogans	35	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.01	-1	-2	1	17.0	17.4	-0.42	15.1	17.3	-2.15
Omer Asik	22	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.15	-7	4	-11	18.5	16.8	1.66	17.5	16.0	1.54
CJ Watson	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-3	3	17.5	17.2	0.29	18.5	15.9	2.62
Ronnie Brewer	26	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	3	-9	17.9	17.0	0.94	17.0	16.2	0.79
Carlos Boozer	60	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-5	7	17.0	17.9	-0.84	16.1	17.1	-0.94
Kyle Korver	29	30	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.38	2	-5	7	16.8	17.5	-0.73	18.5	15.4	3.12
Joakim Noah	62	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.57	4	-7	11	16.8	18.5	-1.66	16.0	17.5	-1.54
Luol Deng	78	81	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-2	1	17.3	16.3	1.01	16.0	21.7	-5.63
Derrick Rose	67	70	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	2	-7	17.0	18.2	-1.13	15.8	19.1	-3.35

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	59	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.60	-1	4	-5	15.4	18.5	-3.11	16.5	19.1	-2.59
Al Horford	73	73	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	2	-1	16.4	16.4	-0.00	17.4	16.7	0.63
Marvin Williams	55	53	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.51	-1	4	-5	16.5	16.3	0.13	16.9	17.9	-0.95
Damien Wilkins	25	20	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	-3	9	17.6	15.9	1.70	17.9	17.1	0.89
Joe Johnson	70	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.48	-3	6	-9	16.5	15.9	0.60	17.2	17.6	-0.40
Jamal Crawford	53	52	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.03	12	-9	21	16.8	15.9	0.89	18.0	16.2	1.81
Jeff Teague	13	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.07	4	-1	5	15.2	16.6	-1.40	18.6	17.1	1.57
Hilton Armstrong	9	7	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	1	1	16.4	16.4	0.02	16.9	17.3	-0.45
Jason Collins	34	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	4	-5	15.7	16.9	-1.23	15.8	18.3	-2.50
Josh Powell	13	12	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.01	-1	4	-5	16.3	16.4	-0.14	16.9	17.3	-0.42
Zaza Pachulia	31	30	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.11	-3	6	-9	17.8	15.7	2.10	19.1	16.3	2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.41,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.28,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 94, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.18,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.33,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.42,1	92.3%
TOR 97, NOP 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.37,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.42,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.42,1	91.3%
ATL 109, OKC 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.33,0.29,0.16,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.3,0.25,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.38,0.22,0.43,0.42,1	91.1%