NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	94		Excitement	8.9 [111]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): +17.9%
Denver Nuggets	95		Comeback	10.7 [112]		LVP	Marcus Camby (DEN): -20.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.02	10	80%	0.19	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	-0.02	9	71%	0.08	2	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.00	6	62%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.04
Eric Piatkowski	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.04	0.05	-0.10	-0.01	17	58%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Yao Ming	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	12	50%	0.12	5	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1	-0.04	-0.08	-0.02	12	47%	-0.09	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.07
Moochie Norris	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	7	31%	-0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.18	0.18	-0.04	0.20	-0.01	16	46%	0.19	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.19
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.17	0.17	0.16	-0.01	-0.02	22	67%	0.19	1	-0.02	11	55%	-0.14
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	5	30%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	7	27%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Nene	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.07,-0.01,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	18	52%	-0.03	4	-0.09	6	100%	0.05
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.15	-0.01	8	37%	-0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	1.6	30.9	15.7	23.5	1.7	38.5	138.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -28.2%

DEN +44.0%

DEN +3.5%

DEN +31.2%

HOU -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	18.0	14.8	15.7	108.0	106.7	100.5
season	16.5	14.9		98.8	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.6		101.1	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	18.5	16.4	19.1	18.3	18.0
DEN	14.3	13.1	14.5	17.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	8	10	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-2	3	18.9	17.9	0.96	15.2	14.7	0.49
Yao Ming	54	56	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-7	13	18.3	17.5	0.83	15.3	13.9	1.41
Eric Piatkowski	29	29	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.16	-6	5	-11	18.8	17.6	1.19	14.1	15.1	-0.93
Maurice Taylor	55	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.01	-8	7	-15	19.3	15.8	3.51	13.9	16.4	-2.49
Steve Francis	61	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.57	9	-10	19	17.9	18.2	-0.22	16.8	10.2	6.57
Kelvin Cato	56	54	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-3	5	16.5	20.7	-4.26	15.1	14.3	0.79
Jim Jackson	69	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.50	2	-3	5	18.2	17.3	0.91	15.3	12.6	2.62
Cuttino Mobley	76	77	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.60	2	-3	5	17.5	21.3	-3.75	14.5	16.2	-1.72
Moochie Norris	27	27	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.30	-13	12	-25	17.8	18.1	-0.32	10.2	16.8	-6.57

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	76	74	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.51	6	-5	11	14.8	14.5	0.35	18.2	17.0	1.18
Andre Miller	73	71	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.49	5	-4	9	15.0	13.7	1.31	18.2	17.3	0.84
Earl Boykins	40	38	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-11	23	14.4	15.0	-0.62	19.0	17.2	1.78
Voshon Lenard	76	73	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.48	-1	2	-3	15.1	12.8	2.34	17.9	18.4	-0.51
Nene	58	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.74	-11	12	-23	16.1	12.3	3.75	17.4	19.1	-1.71
Marcus Camby	51	52	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	5	-9	14.7	14.9	-0.23	17.2	19.1	-1.91
Rodney White	13	14	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	-1	3	12.8	15.1	-2.34	18.4	17.9	0.51
Chris Andersen	21	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.14	3	-2	5	15.9	14.4	1.49	18.7	17.8	0.97
Ryan Bowen	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	3	-5	9.7	15.3	-5.67	16.3	18.2	-1.86
Francisco Elson	28	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	6	-11	12.7	15.7	-2.94	18.4	17.8	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.26,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.18,0.27,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.18,0.24,0.33,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 80, ATL 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.34,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.36,0.3,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.41,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.45,0.28,1	92.3%
TOR 97, NOP 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.32,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.28,0.26,0.37,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.42,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.42,1	91.1%
IND 90, POR 96	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.17,0.22,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.27,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.31,0.42,1	90.5%