inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 130 Excitement12.0 [20] MVPAndrew Wiggins (GSW): +77.6%
Golden State Warriors 123 Comeback25.5 [64] LVPKlay Thompson (GSW): -29.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.590,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.24,0.34,0.55,0.590.180.420.012967%0.663-0.072100%0.06
Chet Holmgren0.490,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.26,0.22,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.490.170.340.022271%0.614-0.13786%-0.00
Isaiah Joe0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.040.08-0.01956%0.1300.0000%0.00
Jalen Williams0.120,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.070.070.021658%0.141-0.026100%0.03
Josh Giddey0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.030.02-0.001050%0.0500.002100%0.01
Vasilije Micic0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jaylin Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.00343%-0.0100.001100%0.00
Aaron Wiggins-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.0000%0.002-0.0400%0.00
Luguentz Dort-0.060,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.020.01625%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.00312%-0.0800.00250%-0.01

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.36,0.36,0.59,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.8,0.8,0.780.780.230.55-0.001974%0.7800.00450%-0.05
Chris Paul0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.080.20-0.00967%0.2900.0000%0.00
Jonathan Kuminga0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.011059%0.083-0.07250%-0.01
Brandin Podziemski0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.00650%0.093-0.11475%0.01
Dario Saric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.010.00933%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Moses Moody0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.03-0.06-0.00450%0.002-0.104100%0.02
Stephen Curry0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.04,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.15,-0.15-0.150.06-0.21-0.002154%-0.102-0.054100%0.03
Kevon Looney0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.01-0.150.00650%-0.151-0.0100%0.00
Klay Thompson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.29-0.29-0.01-0.260.021355%-0.204-0.093100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game30.20.327.315.423.62.430.92.511.5144.1
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.42.415.0135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +58.5%
OKC +15.6%
GSW -23.8%
OKC +1.1%
GSW -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCGSWNBAOKCGSWNBA
this game13.714.514.5118.2107.0113.9
season13.814.3117.6116.2
opponent14.414.7114.1109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
OKC12.215.212.815.213.713.7
GSW11.815.514.316.117.714.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kenrich Williams46470.91-0.411.330.7170714.013.50.5714.314.7-0.37
Josh Giddey52520.78-0.281.060.6643113.713.7-0.0312.915.9-2.95
Chet Holmgren77810.52-0.020.530.259-21113.514.2-0.7214.813.81.02
Jalen Williams86880.450.050.390.2761513.713.70.0014.913.51.33
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander86910.440.060.380.2370713.315.2-1.9714.116.2-2.06
Isaiah Joe51550.090.41-0.31-0.4017-102713.813.60.2115.313.81.51
Luguentz Dort59600.060.44-0.370.39-1118-2913.613.9-0.3213.515.7-2.21
Aaron Wiggins13140.020.48-0.46-0.0425-313.513.7-0.2815.914.31.58
Vasilije Micic13150.010.49-0.480.04-18-915.113.51.5518.014.03.98
Jaylin Williams1313-0.310.81-1.12-0.04-916-2516.213.42.7711.614.9-3.30
Cason Wallace5459-0.480.98-1.46-0.6043113.613.8-0.1615.713.32.37

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Paul8177-0.03-0.470.44-0.123-101314.714.20.4313.813.40.41
Klay Thompson7876-0.08-0.420.34-0.204-111514.814.00.7613.913.20.69
Dario Saric3836-0.15-0.350.200.03-6-1-516.513.62.8913.313.9-0.64
Andrew Wiggins7673-0.20-0.300.11-0.376-131914.015.6-1.5914.212.81.35
Stephen Curry8784-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.340-7714.614.50.0513.614.0-0.33
Moses Moody4037-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.11-81-913.914.9-0.9413.413.9-0.46
Kevon Looney7774-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.32-1-6513.616.5-2.8913.913.30.64
Brandin Podziemski5553-0.50-0.00-0.49-0.06-158-2314.314.7-0.4413.214.2-1.04
Jonathan Kuminga4340-0.510.01-0.520.02-1811-2915.713.91.7813.413.9-0.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.75,0.58,0.62,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.53,0.4,0.27,0.24,0.37,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.22,0.1,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 111, GSW 1070.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.35,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.69,0.68,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.72,0.62,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.46,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.8,0.79,0.57,0.42,087.6%
CLE 104, HOU 1020.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.81,0.89,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.62,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.37,0.14,0.09,087.5%
CHA 95, WAS 860.5,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.65,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.54,0.52,0.66,0.57,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.16,0.13,0.54,0.31,0.28,0.03,0,087.4%