inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 105 Excitement8.8 [165] MVPReggie Jackson (DEN): +25.3%
Denver Nuggets 108 Comeback2.7 [536] LVPAndrew Wiggins (GSW): -13.6%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Trayce Jackson-Davis0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.060.05-0.00373%0.1200.00580%-0.00
Moses Moody0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.020.00771%0.0900.0000%0.00
Jonathan Kuminga0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08-0.030.07-0.031238%0.0800.002100%0.02
Kevon Looney0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.070.060.020.01491%0.172-0.10367%-0.01
Brandin Podziemski0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.01371%0.0400.001100%0.00
Chris Paul-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0-0.020.01-0.001045%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.040,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04-0.01-0.020.001250%0.012-0.04650%-0.04
Dario Saric-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.01-0.05-0.00540%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Stephen Curry-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.080.07-0.120.031759%-0.013-0.075100%0.04
Andrew Wiggins-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14-0.06-0.070.011337%-0.061-0.07475%-0.01

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.26,0.250.250.080.180.011756%0.2500.00250%-0.01
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.190.190.080.09-0.022558%0.263-0.071060%-0.10
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.10.100.030.04-0.04850%0.1000.004100%0.03
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.050.00275%0.0800.0000%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.040.030.021750%0.0600.0000%0.00
Peyton Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.010.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Christian Braun0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.01-0.01-0.00350%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Collin Gillespie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.020.00275%0.021-0.0400%0.00
Julian Strawther0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.03-0.001444%0.032-0.10475%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.53.426.615.729.02.837.0140.9
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +52.7%
GSW -13.2%
DEN +5.4%
DEN +10.0%
GSW -4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWDENNBAGSWDENNBA
this game14.814.814.5108.2111.3113.9
season14.314.9116.2116.6
opponent14.614.4111.7114.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW16.515.612.914.414.8
DEN13.516.417.112.714.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brandin Podziemski21210.21-0.710.93-0.028-111916.414.41.9616.114.51.60
Jonathan Kuminga37370.15-0.650.81-0.119-122115.214.60.6415.314.60.69
Trayce Jackson-Davis36360.05-0.550.60-0.074-71115.614.41.1314.814.9-0.06
Moses Moody26280.02-0.520.54-0.166-91515.114.80.3215.614.51.07
Chris Paul5654-0.18-0.320.13-0.335-81314.914.80.0713.816.2-2.37
Dario Saric5253-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.02-129-2114.914.70.2115.014.60.42
Kevon Looney6160-0.40-0.10-0.29-0.22-63-914.415.6-1.1315.014.50.54
Andrew Wiggins5958-0.48-0.02-0.46-0.30-63-914.515.4-0.9015.114.50.60
Stephen Curry7171-0.680.18-0.85-0.38-107-1714.815.1-0.3214.515.7-1.16
Klay Thompson6667-0.830.33-1.16-0.45-1310-2314.315.9-1.5514.615.5-0.95

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Porter Jr.76760.79-0.291.080.4113-102314.516.0-1.5314.615.7-1.11
Aaron Gordon71710.78-0.281.060.4312-92114.416.2-1.7914.815.0-0.16
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope72710.72-0.220.930.3413-102314.515.8-1.2314.815.1-0.32
Reggie Jackson66660.71-0.210.930.3911-81914.615.4-0.8414.914.80.10
Nikola Jokic74740.400.100.300.3130315.014.20.8214.515.9-1.40
Justin Holiday16170.110.39-0.280.0521113.415.1-1.6915.914.61.33
Zeke Nnaji1312-0.070.57-0.640.02-36-915.914.71.2415.914.71.22
Christian Braun3130-0.210.71-0.910.03-811-1916.314.22.0815.214.70.51
Collin Gillespie3131-0.210.71-0.930.02-811-1915.414.60.8414.814.9-0.10
Peyton Watson2020-0.220.72-0.940.01-811-1916.214.51.7714.614.9-0.25
Julian Strawther1517-0.300.80-1.100.05-1215-2715.114.80.3415.614.70.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.78,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.42,0.34,0.56,0.47,0.73,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.61,0.85,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 90, LAC 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.77,191.9%
LAC 91, WAS 940.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.69,0.86,0.76,0.74,191.5%
LAL 101, UTA 1030.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.74,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.49,0.62,0.65,0.53,0.68,0.77,0.84,0.84,191.5%