NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	130		Excitement	12.9 [11]		MVP	JaVale McGee (DAL): +62.2%
Atlanta Hawks	132		Comeback	2.6 [534]		LVP	Christian Wood (DAL): -19.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0.62	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.62	0.08	0.54	0.00	6	79%	0.62	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.24
Kyrie Irving	0.53	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.33,0.4,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.53	0.22	0.29	-0.02	27	66%	0.60	1	-0.07	8	100%	0.08
Josh Green	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.04	0.00	9	72%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.01	3	87%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Bullock	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	6	37%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Davis Bertans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Luka Doncic	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	21	48%	0.02	5	-0.16	4	75%	-0.03
Christian Wood	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.33,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.00	-0.20	0.00	10	60%	-0.06	4	-0.14	10	60%	-0.30

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Saddiq Bey	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.03	0.21	-0.01	13	50%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.17	-0.00	9	70%	0.26	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Trae Young	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.24	0.24	-0.05	0.25	-0.04	24	43%	0.29	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.10
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	-0.00	9	70%	0.15	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	-0.01	14	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.11	-0.10	0.01	10	64%	0.00	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.07
AJ Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	0.02	21	57%	0.06	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.6	2.3	27.4	14.7	25.3	2.5	38.9	2.7	16.2	154.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -14.3%

DAL -1.6%

ATL +47.6%

ATL +12.7%

ATL +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	ATL	NBA	DAL	ATL	NBA
this game	13.8	14.0	14.4	114.0	114.8	113.4
season	15.2	13.8		115.5	115.1
opponent	14.4	14.3		114.9	115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DAL	14.0	12.6	14.1	14.0	15.8	13.8
ATL	11.7	12.7	14.1	16.7	17.6	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Wood	60	62	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.18	10	-12	22	13.3	14.3	-0.98	15.6	12.0	3.66
Davis Bertans	11	11	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.06	5	-7	12	12.4	14.0	-1.61	14.4	13.9	0.45
Dwight Powell	47	47	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-6	10	13.6	14.0	-0.37	12.0	15.3	-3.24
Jaden Hardy	31	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	1	-4	13.1	14.1	-0.94	13.4	14.2	-0.75
JaVale McGee	45	45	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.47	13	-15	28	13.6	14.0	-0.43	16.8	12.1	4.63
Josh Green	83	84	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.44	6	-8	14	13.7	14.2	-0.52	14.7	11.8	2.94
Tim Hardaway Jr.	41	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	0.03	-13	11	-24	14.9	13.2	1.70	12.0	15.1	-3.12
Luka Doncic	93	95	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.39	-1	-1	0	13.8	13.7	0.18	14.2	12.8	1.40
Maxi Kleber	17	17	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.16	-20	18	-38	15.6	13.5	2.08	11.2	14.4	-3.19
Reggie Bullock	48	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	3	-8	13.6	14.0	-0.37	12.0	15.3	-3.32
Kyrie Irving	94	95	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.49	-6	4	-10	14.1	12.2	1.90	14.0	13.8	0.13

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Saddiq Bey	82	79	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.45	10	-8	18	14.4	13.0	1.38	14.2	12.9	1.26
John Collins	71	70	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.46	6	-4	10	13.8	14.2	-0.33	14.5	12.7	1.85
Clint Capela	68	66	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.57	1	1	0	14.0	13.9	0.14	14.8	12.5	2.24
Dejounte Murray	88	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.48	2	0	2	14.0	13.8	0.23	14.1	12.7	1.46
Trae Young	89	89	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.26	7	-5	12	14.2	13.0	1.19	13.9	13.4	0.58
Onyeka Okongwu	46	47	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	2	-2	14.2	13.8	0.36	12.8	14.6	-1.79
AJ Griffin	29	29	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	4	-6	13.7	14.1	-0.40	13.0	14.1	-1.05
Jalen Johnson	44	45	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	9	-16	13.2	14.4	-1.18	12.6	14.6	-2.08
Bogdan Bogdanovic	58	57	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.08	-7	9	-16	13.5	14.4	-0.89	12.9	14.8	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.78,0.83,0.71,0.71,0.62,0.57,0.75,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 99, LAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.71,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.81,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.72,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.85,0.72,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.32,0.85,1	89.9%
HOU 99, POR 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.77,0.68,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.8,0.88,0.85,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.48,0.43,0.58,1	89.3%
GSW 82, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.71,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.85,0.83,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.95,0.54,0.47,0.54,0.85,0.91,1	89.3%