NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Excitement	10.0 [85]		MVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): +31.1%
Atlanta Hawks	120		Comeback	2.1 [595]		LVP	Darius Garland (CLE): -27.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Mobley	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.13	0.12	0.03	13	71%	0.22	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Donovan Mitchell	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.13	0.17	-0.01	0.03	33	59%	0.26	2	-0.12	9	100%	0.09
Caris LeVert	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.00	6	60%	0.09	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.04
Ricky Rubio	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mamadi Diakite	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	6	29%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Darius Garland	-0.27	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.27,-0.27	0.01	-0.26	0.02	22	54%	-0.07	4	-0.20	6	100%	0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.31	0.31	0.17	0.15	0.01	22	59%	0.31	0	0.00	5	80%	0.07
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.08	0.01	5	95%	0.26	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.07
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.00	8	71%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.05	0.01	10	57%	0.12	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	61%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vit Krejci	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,-0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.01	9	60%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	0.02	-0.01	15	41%	0.02	6	-0.14	9	67%	-0.07
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	12	28%	-0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	27.6	15.3	33.6	2.4	38.4	142.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -4.1%

ATL +35.1%

ATL +27.3%

CLE -14.1%

ATL +5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	14.6	14.1	14.4	116.8	120.0	113.4
season	15.1	13.8		114.0	115.1
opponent	14.4	14.7		114.9	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.5	15.0	13.5	13.4	14.6
ATL	13.5	11.6	14.2	17.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Mobley	87	85	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.42	10	-12	22	14.2	16.7	-2.47	14.0	14.2	-0.15
Lamar Stevens	81	83	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-8	14	14.5	14.8	-0.27	15.2	8.6	6.60
Ricky Rubio	40	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	2	-6	15.3	14.1	1.27	13.9	14.2	-0.24
Darius Garland	90	87	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.45	6	-8	14	14.4	16.4	-2.00	13.9	15.3	-1.42
Donovan Mitchell	83	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.46	4	-6	10	14.2	16.5	-2.33	15.1	9.6	5.48
Caris LeVert	72	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-5	8	14.2	15.6	-1.45	13.7	15.0	-1.29
Mamadi Diakite	26	25	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.03	-16	14	-30	16.4	13.9	2.48	12.1	14.7	-2.65
Cedi Osman	26	27	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	17	-36	16.1	14.1	2.06	11.2	15.1	-3.95

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Saddiq Bey	43	45	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.06	23	-21	44	12.9	14.9	-2.04	16.0	13.5	2.51
Onyeka Okongwu	41	42	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.04	14	-12	26	13.3	14.6	-1.28	15.9	13.7	2.22
Trae Young	76	78	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.57	-8	10	-18	13.9	14.6	-0.68	14.3	15.4	-1.05
Bogdan Bogdanovic	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.01	10	-8	18	13.3	14.7	-1.34	15.2	14.0	1.20
Vit Krejci	20	20	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.02	10	-8	18	9.6	15.2	-5.59	17.0	14.0	3.07
De'Andre Hunter	80	81	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.46	-8	10	-18	15.2	9.6	5.59	14.0	17.0	-3.07
Dejounte Murray	73	72	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.37	-6	8	-14	15.0	11.7	3.29	14.1	15.8	-1.70
John Collins	62	62	0.10	0.41	-0.31	0.45	-12	14	-26	14.6	13.3	1.30	14.0	15.6	-1.64
Clint Capela	59	59	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.39	-13	15	-28	14.6	13.3	1.28	13.7	15.9	-2.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.56,0.78,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.74,0.64,0.6,0.76,0.64,0.57,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 87, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.79,0.55,0.72,1	90.5%
HOU 125, MEM 130	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.7,0.8,0.76,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.98,1	90.5%
ORL 100, MIL 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.71,0.79,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.58,1	90.5%