NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	100		Excitement	8.9 [148]		MVP	Nate Wolters (MIL): +38.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	104		Comeback	1.4 [509]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -17.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17	0.09	0.11	0.02	10	73%	0.23	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	12	65%	0.22	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.09	-0.00	5	54%	0.12	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.06
Tobias Harris	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	11	64%	0.11	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.03
Doron Lamb	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08,-0.12	0.08	-0.18	0.01	15	70%	0.12	3	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	2	0%	-0.11	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.09
Jameer Nelson	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.21,-0.18	-0.03	-0.15	-0.00	12	37%	-0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Wolters	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0,0,0.38	0.38	0.03	0.35	0.00	13	54%	0.42	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	10	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.00	3	67%	0.10	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	9	41%	0.02	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.10	-0.02	15	70%	0.19	3	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	9	45%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	0.00	13	47%	-0.07	2	-0.05	12	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.6	27.0	15.4	25.4	2.7	38.3	132.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +7.2%

MIL +16.8%

MIL +7.8%

MIL +17.9%

MIL +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	14.9	16.5	15.1	109.9	113.0	105.2
season	15.3	15.7		100.4	101.4
opponent	15.1	15.0		109.7	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	15.0	13.6	15.1	16.0	14.9
MIL	16.3	19.1	14.3	16.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Glen Davis	27	28	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.03	7	-11	18	13.2	15.7	-2.43	15.2	17.1	-1.84
Doron Lamb	26	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-3	2	15.9	14.5	1.38	17.6	16.1	1.55
Maurice Harkless	47	46	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	1	-6	15.7	14.1	1.59	17.4	15.7	1.76
Victor Oladipo	37	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.06	-7	3	-10	16.4	14.0	2.39	17.7	15.8	1.91
Nikola Vucevic	54	54	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.28	4	-8	12	13.6	16.9	-3.34	16.5	16.6	-0.17
Kyle O'Quinn	37	39	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	3	-10	16.9	13.6	3.34	16.2	16.8	-0.52
Arron Afflalo	63	63	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-6	8	14.2	16.5	-2.31	16.3	17.1	-0.83
Jameer Nelson	61	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-5	6	14.0	16.8	-2.78	16.1	17.3	-1.19
Tobias Harris	63	64	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.40	-4	0	-4	14.3	16.2	-1.90	16.0	17.9	-1.90
E'Twaun Moore	40	40	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	6	-16	16.7	13.6	3.11	16.9	16.2	0.74

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	48	48	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.29	16	-12	28	16.7	16.3	0.41	16.7	12.9	3.84
John Henson	56	56	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.26	15	-11	26	17.8	14.5	3.29	16.7	12.1	4.54
Brandon Knight	70	68	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.39	0	4	-4	15.6	19.4	-3.78	14.6	16.0	-1.43
Ersan Ilyasova	43	42	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.51	-6	10	-16	15.1	17.8	-2.75	12.1	17.4	-5.27
Nate Wolters	78	78	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	5	-6	16.5	16.5	0.04	14.3	18.6	-4.29
Caron Butler	52	51	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	-7	18	16.8	16.2	0.63	16.8	12.5	4.34
Gary Neal	34	33	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	0	4	18.7	15.3	3.45	16.5	14.1	2.39
Khris Middleton	46	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.13	-7	11	-18	16.1	17.0	-0.89	13.5	16.4	-2.86
Zaza Pachulia	33	33	-0.29	0.79	-1.07	0.07	-12	16	-28	15.8	16.9	-1.11	12.6	16.2	-3.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.82,0.78,0.73,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.71,0.79,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 94, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.89,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.96,1	91.3%
CHA 85, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.95,1	91.3%
DEN 87, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.67,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.9,0.79,0.55,0.72,1	91.0%