NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	94		Excitement	7.8 [246]		MVP	Austin Daye (DET): +22.3%
Detroit Pistons	98		Comeback	1.2 [829]		LVP	Gilbert Arenas (WAS): -28.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.13	0.06	0.00	4	86%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Earl Boykins	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.11	0.07	0.02	11	64%	0.15	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Dominic McGuire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.01	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	6	50%	0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.12,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	8	53%	0.04	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.1,0.16,0,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	19	51%	0.07	4	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Antawn Jamison	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.06	-0.10	0.01	14	37%	-0.15	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.06
Gilbert Arenas	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.28,-0.28	-0.08	-0.19	0.02	9	40%	-0.15	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.12	0.10	0.00	5	110%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	18	56%	0.17	3	-0.08	9	78%	0.05
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	-0.00	19	46%	0.10	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	1	71%	0.06	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	7	47%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.06
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	8	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	12	42%	0.03	1	-0.09	14	64%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.16	-0.09	-0.01	5	0%	-0.11	4	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.8	2.6	32.3	16.0	27.0	2.5	39.5	149.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +25.4%

WAS -4.4%

DET +11.9%

DET +14.7%

DET +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	14.5	17.0	15.3	103.3	106.5	106.0
season	15.7	16.8		102.6	104.0
opponent	15.2	15.3		109.8	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.0	13.9	14.6	15.3	14.5
DET	16.5	18.9	16.7	16.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Young	33	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-8	12	14.4	14.5	-0.14	18.3	16.3	2.01
Randy Foye	25	26	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-3	2	14.0	14.6	-0.62	17.7	16.7	1.00
DeShawn Stevenson	16	15	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.15	-9	5	-14	14.4	14.5	-0.02	15.7	17.3	-1.53
JaVale McGee	14	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.05	-6	2	-8	14.2	14.5	-0.28	18.0	16.8	1.15
Andray Blatche	41	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.21	3	-7	10	13.5	15.2	-1.75	16.2	17.7	-1.52
Dominic McGuire	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	2	-8	13.8	14.7	-0.90	16.4	17.3	-0.87
Brendan Haywood	56	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-6	8	15.2	13.3	1.85	18.3	15.0	3.29
Gilbert Arenas	60	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.38	4	-8	12	14.5	14.4	0.05	16.6	17.7	-1.10
Caron Butler	65	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.40	2	-6	8	14.7	13.8	0.90	17.3	16.4	0.87
Earl Boykins	48	50	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	0	-4	14.7	14.1	0.59	16.3	17.9	-1.60
Antawn Jamison	71	72	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.35	-9	5	-14	14.5	14.3	0.19	16.6	18.6	-2.09

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Villanueva	70	70	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.31	11	-7	18	16.9	17.5	-0.58	14.3	14.8	-0.47
Will Bynum	56	54	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.32	7	-3	10	16.2	18.2	-1.99	13.9	15.2	-1.29
Rodney Stuckey	65	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.33	6	-2	8	17.4	16.0	1.48	14.6	14.1	0.44
Jonas Jerebko	76	73	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	0	4	16.0	21.7	-5.66	14.7	13.6	1.05
Ben Wallace	66	66	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.28	1	3	-2	16.6	18.2	-1.59	14.8	13.4	1.39
Austin Daye	22	22	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	0	4	18.4	16.6	1.78	14.3	14.5	-0.17
Kwame Brown	26	25	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.10	3	1	2	18.2	16.6	1.59	13.4	14.8	-1.39
Jason Maxiell	18	18	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.09	-3	7	-10	16.9	17.0	-0.15	14.8	14.4	0.48
Ben Gordon	21	20	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	8	-12	19.4	16.3	3.07	14.0	14.6	-0.51
DaJuan Summers	1	0	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	6	-8	0.0	17.2	-17.20	0.0	14.5	-14.45
Chucky Atkins	39	40	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.00	-7	11	-18	18.0	16.3	1.76	14.9	14.1	0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.75,0.75,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.88,0.89,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 85, NOH 94	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.64,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.57,0.62,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.81,0.72,0.78,0.95,1	92.9%
BOS 86, POR 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.91,1	92.1%
UTA 108, HOU 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.89,0.98,0.98,1	92.0%