inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 86 Excitement7.1 [376] MVPWesley Matthews (POR): +30.0%
Portland Trail Blazers 92 Comeback1.5 [734] LVPEric Maynor (POR): -9.7%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Garnett0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.05,0.06,0.06-0.000.05-0.011950%0.122-0.062100%0.02
Paul Pierce0.050,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.050.11-0.050.011662%0.061-0.01580%-0.00
Brandon Bass0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.011050%0.0500.00250%-0.01
Courtney Lee0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.00550%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Chris Wilcox0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Avery Bradley-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.00-0.020.01944%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Terrence Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.050.01-0.00425%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jordan Crawford-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.010.0040%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Jeff Green-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.00-0.021239%0.003-0.08475%-0.00
Jason Terry-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.040.00440%-0.041-0.042100%0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wesley Matthews0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.30.300.190.10-0.011189%0.352-0.05560%-0.01
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,0.06,0.060.06-0.080.12-0.021635%0.122-0.062100%0.03
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.030.030.020.020.011455%0.113-0.09580%0.00
Victor Claver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.03-0.00450%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Meyers Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01343%0.031-0.021100%0.01
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.02250%0.031-0.0200%0.00
JJ Hickson0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.05,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.030.00855%0.103-0.10475%0.01
Joel Freeland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.010.011550%0.032-0.062100%0.02
Eric Maynor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.04-0.00520%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.730.315.623.12.331.3129.5
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +37.2%
POR +22.0%
POR +8.2%
BOS -21.2%
POR +3.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSPORNBABOSPORNBA
this game14.317.315.494.5101.1104.1
season14.915.8101.2104.3
opponent15.316.2107.6101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.512.214.315.814.3
POR16.515.517.720.117.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Terrence Williams14130.03-0.530.55-0.001-7813.614.4-0.8018.117.20.87
Jordan Crawford2826-0.07-0.430.37-0.04-1-5413.914.5-0.6715.318.1-2.78
Courtney Lee4748-0.10-0.400.30-0.100-6614.214.5-0.3117.217.4-0.21
Brandon Bass5456-0.17-0.330.16-0.11-2-4215.113.21.9517.417.30.12
Avery Bradley6465-0.17-0.330.15-0.294-101414.414.20.1418.115.52.56
Chris Wilcox2829-0.22-0.280.06-0.01-71-815.713.72.0716.617.7-1.14
Paul Pierce6161-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.374-101413.516.0-2.5617.916.21.64
Kevin Garnett6362-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.311-7813.715.7-2.0717.716.61.14
Jason Terry3637-0.590.09-0.67-0.21-137-2014.614.20.3916.717.8-1.06
Jeff Green6058-0.680.18-0.86-0.18-1711-2814.813.51.3217.117.7-0.62

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Victor Claver38380.55-0.050.590.1414-82216.318.1-1.8314.014.5-0.55
Wesley Matthews69690.470.030.430.2960618.114.93.2514.513.80.72
Nicolas Batum75750.430.070.360.2951417.416.90.4814.314.20.16
Damian Lillard71710.370.130.240.2542217.815.52.2814.712.81.95
LaMarcus Aldridge59580.330.170.160.2724-217.616.80.7515.013.11.88
JJ Hickson57560.320.180.140.2333017.317.4-0.0414.214.6-0.41
Eric Maynor29310.150.35-0.200.0342215.618.2-2.6114.414.30.05
Will Barton17170.020.48-0.460.05-17-815.217.8-2.5811.714.9-3.21
Meyers Leonard3132-0.020.52-0.540.01-17-817.417.30.0914.214.4-0.25
Joel Freeland98-0.120.62-0.730.06-612-1819.017.11.8512.514.5-1.99


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.77,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 102, POR 1080.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.95,192.6%
PHI 92, BKN 950.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.7,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.99,192.5%
TOR 84, DET 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.92,0.95,0.97,1,192.4%