inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 108 Excitement7.6 [316] MVPKyle Lowry (HOU): +32.4%
Houston Rockets 110 Comeback1.3 [1035] LVPDevin Harris (UTA): -18.4%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Millsap0.310,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.310.250.100.041873%0.341-0.031275%-0.01
Gordon Hayward0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.03-0.00383%0.081-0.0200%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.01762%0.031-0.02250%-0.01
CJ Miles-0.020,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.020.05-0.050.031656%0.001-0.02250%-0.02
Derrick Favors-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.04-0.01944%-0.041-0.0100%0.00
Raja Bell-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.000.00425%-0.032-0.0400%0.00
Earl Watson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.030.0020%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Al Jefferson-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16-0.11-0.06-0.012333%-0.102-0.06560%-0.02
Devin Harris-0.180,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.22,-0.18-0.14-0.06-0.011535%-0.074-0.11450%-0.02

Houston Rockets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.320.320.220.110.001478%0.351-0.02887%0.03
Kevin Martin0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.170.170.150.040.011863%0.212-0.0318100%0.10
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.030.09-0.001164%0.192-0.0700%0.00
Chase Budinger0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.000.02470%0.032-0.042100%0.01
Goran Dragic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.050.00560%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.050.00-0.00933%-0.0500.00667%-0.01
Luis Scola0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.00-0.01531%-0.012-0.04367%-0.00
Charles Hayes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.090.02-0.011129%-0.031-0.03250%-0.02
Jordan Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01517%-0.0600.002100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.01.629.316.426.41.438.5136.7
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
HOU +18.2%
HOU +25.0%
UTA -5.1%
HOU +8.4%
HOU +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTAHOUNBAUTAHOUNBA
this game14.915.115.5111.3115.8105.7
season15.915.2106.4109.5
opponent14.915.3107.5108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA14.313.517.014.814.9
HOU14.515.314.316.515.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrei Kirilenko45440.07-0.570.65-0.075-71214.215.5-1.3413.916.2-2.35
Gordon Hayward2624-0.11-0.390.28-0.08-1-1016.314.32.0115.215.10.05
Devin Harris6361-0.25-0.250.00-0.281-3414.116.3-2.1415.015.4-0.35
Earl Watson3434-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.16-31-416.314.12.1415.415.00.35
Derrick Favors3734-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.05-75-1216.513.92.5615.215.10.08
Paul Millsap8080-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.477-91614.019.1-5.0715.214.50.78
CJ Miles6768-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.31-20-214.216.5-2.3015.314.60.75
Al Jefferson7775-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.34-53-815.014.20.7915.115.00.10
Raja Bell5655-0.580.08-0.67-0.44-53-815.613.91.7715.614.41.17

Houston Rockets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kevin Martin83840.61-0.110.710.436-41015.413.41.9614.517.2-2.72
Patrick Patterson52530.58-0.080.660.377-51215.814.31.5515.514.11.44
Courtney Lee79800.470.030.430.4702-215.314.30.9815.014.30.71
Kyle Lowry87880.430.070.360.4302-215.114.90.2714.716.4-1.73
Charles Hayes74750.330.170.160.243-1414.417.7-3.2614.516.1-1.63
Jordan Hill21220.170.33-0.160.20-13-417.714.43.2616.114.51.63
Chase Budinger20210.020.48-0.46-0.0111014.415.3-0.9213.615.2-1.67
Goran Dragic1618-0.020.52-0.540.01-13-413.815.4-1.5818.314.14.24
Luis Scola4344-0.080.58-0.660.07-57-1214.315.8-1.5514.115.5-1.44


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.75,0.89,0.98,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 84, CHI 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,193.4%
ORL 83, SAS 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.99,1,1,193.4%
ATL 90, NJN 1050.5,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.67,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,192.9%