NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	112		Excitement	8.2 [310]		MVP	Jordan Poole (GSW): +58.9%
Golden State Warriors	120		Comeback	10.0 [256]		LVP	P.J. Tucker (PHI): -26.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.37,0.42,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.36,0.36	0.23	0.15	0.02	23	68%	0.43	3	-0.07	22	86%	0.07
Tobias Harris	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32	0.21	0.12	0.00	12	85%	0.32	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tyrese Maxey	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.15	0.10	0.02	-0.04	16	60%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Furkan Korkmaz	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Springer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Georges Niang	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Paul Reed	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.06
De'Anthony Melton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
P.J. Tucker	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.10	-0.16	-0.00	5	0%	-0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.24,0.29,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.59,0.59	0.59	0.24	0.34	-0.00	19	72%	0.61	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Stephen Curry	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.07,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.24	0.24	0.13	0.13	0.02	18	66%	0.28	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.01
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	5	100%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	0.00	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,0,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	17	58%	0.14	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Moses Moody	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	11	45%	-0.00	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	7	22%	-0.11	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	26.7	15.3	31.6	2.5	38.4	141.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +55.8%

PHI -17.0%

GSW +14.5%

GSW +0.2%

PHI -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	GSW	NBA	PHI	GSW	NBA
this game	14.4	14.1	14.4	109.8	120.0	113.4
season	15.2	13.9		115.9	114.1
opponent	14.1	14.5		112.6	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.7	15.5	13.5	17.4	14.4
GSW	16.0	12.7	14.2	13.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Furkan Korkmaz	11	11	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.16	6	-14	20	12.5	14.6	-2.09	15.9	13.9	2.03
Shake Milton	50	49	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.13	5	-13	18	13.6	15.2	-1.67	14.6	13.6	1.04
Jaden Springer	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.08	-3	-5	2	9.0	14.5	-5.47	2.5	14.3	-11.84
Joel Embiid	79	79	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.41	13	-21	34	13.8	16.3	-2.50	14.6	12.2	2.42
Georges Niang	61	59	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	2	-12	14.5	14.2	0.32	14.6	13.4	1.12
Paul Reed	13	12	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	5	-18	17.2	14.0	3.23	11.9	14.4	-2.48
Tobias Harris	79	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-9	10	14.2	15.0	-0.76	14.5	12.5	1.99
P.J. Tucker	56	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	3	-14	14.9	13.8	1.03	13.2	15.1	-1.85
Tyrese Maxey	86	84	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.38	-13	5	-18	14.8	12.4	2.42	13.6	16.6	-2.93
De'Anthony Melton	74	74	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.43	-15	7	-22	14.7	13.6	1.16	13.9	14.6	-0.64

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Curry	83	84	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.30	20	-12	32	13.5	16.9	-3.35	14.4	14.3	0.10
Draymond Green	76	76	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.31	15	-7	22	13.2	17.0	-3.76	14.3	14.8	-0.53
Jordan Poole	66	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.25	13	-5	18	14.4	13.5	0.95	15.0	13.3	1.75
Kevon Looney	63	64	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.41	4	4	0	14.1	14.1	-0.06	14.5	14.3	0.15
Klay Thompson	75	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.38	0	8	-8	14.0	14.3	-0.24	14.0	15.7	-1.64
Moses Moody	16	15	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.02	6	2	4	15.8	13.8	2.04	16.7	14.0	2.64
JaMychal Green	27	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.15	4	4	0	14.3	14.0	0.32	14.9	14.2	0.68
Donte DiVincenzo	41	43	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	12	-16	13.5	14.5	-1.08	13.5	15.1	-1.64
Anthony Lamb	24	24	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.13	-4	12	-16	14.9	13.9	1.02	14.6	14.3	0.28
Jonathan Kuminga	29	31	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.04	-14	22	-36	16.7	13.1	3.60	13.8	14.7	-0.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.63,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.32,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.17,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.78,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 109, CHI 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.54,0.86,0.9,1	91.9%
DEN 103, SAS 109	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.25,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.42,0.36,0.54,0.6,0.45,0.29,0.69,0.96,1	90.8%
MIA 83, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.5,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.2,0.32,0.21,0.35,0.53,0.69,0.63,0.84,0.84,1	90.8%