NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	116		Excitement	8.5 [249]		MVP	Isaac Okoro (CLE): +73.0%
Brooklyn Nets	114		Comeback	65.7 [38]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (BKN): -18.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaac Okoro	0.73	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.73	0.12	0.62	0.01	5	110%	0.73	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.03	0.01	18	62%	0.15	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Cedi Osman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lamar Stevens	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ricky Rubio	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	7	67%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Donovan Mitchell	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.13	0.08	-0.19	0.02	24	54%	-0.11	1	-0.02	9	67%	-0.11
Darius Garland	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	16	37%	-0.04	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.13	-0.00	8	94%	0.28	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.10	-0.03	15	69%	0.31	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.18	0.18	0.19	0.03	0.04	19	70%	0.19	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.05
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	67%	0.12	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Day'Ron Sharpe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	5	55%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Nic Claxton	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	10	46%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	36%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18	-0.18	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	6	25%	-0.05	3	-0.13	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.4	26.5	15.4	30.5	2.6	28.8	132.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +19.9%

BKN -23.3%

CLE +33.6%

CLE +15.8%

CLE +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BKN	NBA	CLE	BKN	NBA
this game	15.4	14.2	14.4	118.4	118.8	113.4
season	15.1	14.4		114.0	113.7
opponent	14.8	14.7		113.0	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.0	17.2	15.7	14.9	15.4
BKN	13.7	12.8	12.5	18.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Mobley	79	79	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.36	16	-14	30	15.2	16.4	-1.15	15.2	9.7	5.51
Caris LeVert	45	45	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.67	1	1	0	15.8	15.1	0.71	13.3	15.0	-1.71
Jarrett Allen	64	62	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.65	1	1	0	14.4	17.4	-2.93	13.9	14.9	-1.04
Donovan Mitchell	69	67	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.60	0	2	-2	15.2	16.1	-0.94	14.3	14.1	0.15
Isaac Okoro	60	60	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.65	-8	10	-18	15.7	15.0	0.72	14.0	14.6	-0.64
Darius Garland	79	77	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.40	15	-13	28	15.2	16.4	-1.15	15.3	9.8	5.48
Lamar Stevens	9	8	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.06	-8	10	-18	16.4	15.3	1.11	9.1	14.7	-5.58
Cedi Osman	45	43	-0.28	0.78	-1.06	-0.25	-1	3	-4	16.3	14.7	1.57	14.0	14.5	-0.52
Ricky Rubio	40	39	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.13	-6	8	-14	16.4	14.8	1.62	13.4	14.8	-1.40

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yuta Watanabe	26	27	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.07	12	-14	26	14.1	14.3	-0.22	17.4	14.7	2.67
Day'Ron Sharpe	29	30	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-4	6	13.7	14.5	-0.84	15.6	15.4	0.18
Dorian Finney-Smith	43	45	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-5	8	13.8	14.6	-0.86	15.5	15.4	0.17
Cameron Johnson	46	47	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.10	-3	1	-4	13.2	15.2	-2.09	15.7	15.2	0.55
Seth Curry	12	12	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	9	-20	14.9	14.1	0.77	15.0	15.5	-0.50
Spencer Dinwiddie	84	86	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.53	9	-11	20	14.1	14.9	-0.77	15.5	15.0	0.50
Joe Harris	45	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-4	6	15.3	13.3	1.98	15.0	15.8	-0.79
Nic Claxton	67	68	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.51	-4	2	-6	14.5	13.7	0.84	15.4	15.6	-0.18
Royce O'Neale	59	60	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.51	-6	4	-10	14.4	13.9	0.52	15.4	15.4	-0.01
Mikal Bridges	69	69	-0.90	0.40	-1.29	-0.49	-14	12	-26	14.5	13.7	0.80	14.7	17.2	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.41,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.6,0.74,0.62,0.52,0.67,0.81,0.92,0.92,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.95,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, DET 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.61,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.71,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.95,0	91.6%
WAS 91, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.96,0	91.6%
HOU 159, WAS 158	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.7,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.86,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.89,0.95,0.72,0	90.9%