NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	159		Excitement	11.4 [32]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +84.7%
Washington Wizards	158		Comeback	39.8 [79]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (WAS): -6.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.61	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.61	0.38	0.26	0.03	32	72%	0.71	4	-0.10	18	94%	0.09
Eric Gordon	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.29	0.06	0.23	-0.00	13	58%	0.31	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.28	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.19,-0.19,-0.17,-0.1,0.28	-0.04	0.33	0.00	16	47%	0.40	4	-0.12	4	50%	0.02
Austin Rivers	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.05	-0.00	6	92%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.06	0.02	9	80%	0.19	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
P.J. Tucker	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13	0.04	0.07	-0.02	7	56%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Clint Capela	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	13	64%	0.13	1	-0.03	7	43%	-0.06
Ben McLemore	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.85	0.85	0.34	0.91	0.41	20	88%	1.19	5	-0.34	12	92%	0.23
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.23	0.15	0.00	10	100%	0.38	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rui Hachimura	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	15	72%	0.20	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.00	7	87%	0.18	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.00	8	63%	0.13	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Isaac Bonga	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.04	6	43%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	54%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	-0.00	11	68%	0.15	5	-0.21	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	1.6	28.9	14.6	25.4	2.0	46.6	146.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -35.2%

HOU +12.5%

HOU +28.2%

HOU +40.9%

HOU +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	WAS	NBA	HOU	WAS	NBA
this game	12.4	13.3	14.2	142.0	141.1	109.6
season	13.4	13.7		111.2	109.8
opponent	14.0	14.4		114.2	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.6	13.1	12.0	11.8	12.4
WAS	12.7	13.5	14.1	13.0	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben McLemore	18	19	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.57	13	-12	25	11.0	12.6	-1.63	13.9	13.2	0.72
P.J. Tucker	76	76	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.53	9	-8	17	12.3	12.5	-0.20	13.6	12.8	0.80
James Harden	84	85	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.53	6	-5	11	12.7	11.4	1.25	13.8	12.0	1.78
Eric Gordon	72	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.59	1	0	1	12.0	13.0	-1.06	13.6	13.0	0.63
Russell Westbrook	84	84	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.45	2	-1	3	12.0	13.4	-1.42	12.9	14.8	-1.92
Tyson Chandler	7	7	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.01	0	1	-1	14.6	12.2	2.35	16.0	13.2	2.83
Ryan Anderson	11	11	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	5	-9	12.0	12.4	-0.41	10.5	13.7	-3.11
Clint Capela	67	67	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	-0.09	-1	2	-3	12.8	11.7	1.17	13.8	12.6	1.18
Thabo Sefolosha	26	26	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.04	-6	7	-13	12.3	12.4	-0.13	13.1	13.4	-0.30
Danuel House Jr.	66	66	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.21	-2	3	-5	12.6	12.0	0.58	13.0	13.8	-0.77
Austin Rivers	49	48	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	-0.00	-13	14	-27	12.4	12.3	0.15	12.6	13.9	-1.30

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Brown Jr.	42	43	0.35	-0.85	1.21	0.00	12	-13	25	11.1	14.7	-3.60	12.5	12.3	0.24
Moritz Wagner	34	36	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.14	5	-6	11	11.9	14.0	-2.15	11.6	12.7	-1.15
Ish Smith	51	51	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.21	-7	6	-13	13.9	12.9	1.09	13.3	11.6	1.67
Isaiah Thomas	61	59	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.42	7	-8	15	12.9	13.9	-1.09	11.6	13.2	-1.60
Bradley Beal	92	92	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.59	8	-9	17	13.7	11.6	2.13	12.7	10.7	1.97
Davis Bertans	66	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.53	4	-5	9	12.9	14.0	-1.07	11.8	13.2	-1.48
Isaac Bonga	56	58	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.00	-16	15	-31	13.6	13.1	0.55	12.2	12.5	-0.33
Thomas Bryant	78	76	-0.78	0.28	-1.07	-0.61	-6	5	-11	14.0	11.9	2.15	12.7	11.6	1.15
Rui Hachimura	80	79	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.57	-12	11	-23	14.3	11.1	3.20	12.5	12.1	0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.7,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.86,0.79,0.86,0.93,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.96,0.89,0.95,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.86,0.8,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.89,0.72,0.78,0.58,0	91.8%
DAL 95, MIA 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.39,0.41,0.5,0.48,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.82,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.95,0.84,0.75,0.74,0	90.6%
WAS 91, ORL 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.66,0.71,0.88,0.79,0.91,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.9,0.96,0	90.3%