NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	124		Excitement	10.0 [86]		MVP	Naz Reid (MIN): +32.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	125		Comeback	12.5 [220]		LVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): -24.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Collins	0.26	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.26	0.13	0.15	0.01	9	84%	0.28	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.02	10	61%	0.18	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Saddiq Bey	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	9	73%	0.20	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.04
Trae Young	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.08	0.04	0.07	0.04	16	60%	0.34	6	-0.27	16	87%	0.13
Clint Capela	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	6	85%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
AJ Griffin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	11	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.25	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.25	0.06	-0.29	0.01	12	67%	-0.19	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.00	15	81%	0.38	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.24	0.24	0.02	0.25	0.03	18	55%	0.33	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.18
Mike Conley	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.05	0.11	-0.01	11	52%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Taurean Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	8	71%	0.25	3	-0.11	5	100%	0.04
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.09	-0.00	8	50%	0.11	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.06
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.15	-0.06	0.02	17	61%	0.08	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Nowell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.11	0.02	8	56%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.3	29.6	14.6	31.1	2.4	37.4	139.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +4.0%

MIN +22.9%

ATL -3.7%

MIN +21.9%

MIN +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	13.5	14.6	14.4	121.6	121.4	113.4
season	13.8	14.1		115.1	112.4
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.7	114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.2	16.4	12.7	11.8	13.5
MIN	15.0	12.4	15.0	15.8	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	42	43	0.31	-0.81	1.12	0.16	5	-6	11	13.7	13.4	0.32	13.0	15.7	-2.69
AJ Griffin	42	43	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.11	5	-6	11	12.9	13.9	-1.01	13.1	15.6	-2.53
Aaron Holiday	33	34	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.32	12	-13	25	13.2	13.7	-0.52	14.5	14.6	-0.14
Bogdan Bogdanovic	63	63	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-2	3	13.7	13.1	0.64	15.7	12.9	2.81
Garrison Mathews	28	27	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	7	-15	13.0	13.7	-0.64	12.5	15.3	-2.81
Saddiq Bey	43	43	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.47	3	-4	7	13.4	13.5	-0.10	13.0	15.7	-2.69
Trae Young	69	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.15	-13	12	-25	13.7	13.2	0.52	14.6	14.5	0.14
Clint Capela	59	60	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.39	-6	5	-11	13.5	13.4	0.10	15.7	13.0	2.69
De'Andre Hunter	66	66	-0.63	0.13	-0.76	-0.60	-1	0	-1	13.4	13.7	-0.34	15.4	13.2	2.23
John Collins	65	67	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.70	-3	2	-5	13.8	12.9	0.95	15.6	12.8	2.79

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gobert	67	67	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.65	3	-2	5	15.5	12.9	2.53	13.9	12.8	1.07
Mike Conley	65	66	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.30	10	-9	19	14.1	15.4	-1.27	13.6	13.4	0.21
Karl-Anthony Towns	57	57	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.14	13	-12	25	13.8	15.6	-1.88	13.7	13.3	0.38
Kyle Anderson	75	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.61	-4	5	-9	15.3	12.6	2.68	13.8	12.8	0.94
Jaden McDaniels	74	74	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.57	-8	9	-17	15.6	12.0	3.56	13.5	13.5	-0.05
Taurean Prince	62	62	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	0	1	14.2	15.2	-0.96	13.2	14.0	-0.86
Naz Reid	58	56	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.08	3	-2	5	14.1	15.3	-1.24	13.1	14.0	-0.91
Jaylen Nowell	18	18	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.08	-2	3	-5	14.0	14.7	-0.72	13.4	13.5	-0.13
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	39	37	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.02	-11	12	-23	13.5	15.3	-1.82	13.2	13.7	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.07,0.08,0.29,0.52,0.62,0.78,0.68,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 107, BOS 115	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.99,1	89.7%
VAN 95, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.64,0.33,0.84,1	89.3%
SAS 99, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.31,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.42,1	89.2%