inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Atlanta Hawks 124 Excitement10.0 [86] MVPNaz Reid (MIN): +32.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves 125 Comeback12.5 [220] LVPDe'Andre Hunter (ATL): -24.7%


Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Collins0.260,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.26,0.260.130.150.01984%0.281-0.021100%0.00
Onyeka Okongwu0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.040.07-0.021061%0.182-0.06367%-0.00
Saddiq Bey0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.110.060.05-0.00973%0.203-0.094100%0.04
Trae Young0.080,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.080.040.070.041660%0.346-0.271687%0.13
Clint Capela0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.10-0.020.02685%0.0600.001100%0.01
AJ Griffin0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Garrison Mathews-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.020.00350%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bogdan Bogdanovic-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.011150%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Aaron Holiday-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
De'Andre Hunter-0.250,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.250.06-0.290.011267%-0.192-0.0600%0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.330.330.170.160.001581%0.382-0.062100%0.03
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.240.240.020.250.031855%0.333-0.094100%0.18
Mike Conley0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.170.170.050.11-0.011152%0.1700.003100%0.02
Taurean Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.050.090.00871%0.253-0.115100%0.04
Rudy Gobert0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.020.09-0.00850%0.1100.00850%-0.06
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.08,0.080.080.15-0.060.021761%0.0800.00786%0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.020.00530%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Jaylen Nowell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Kyle Anderson0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.01-0.110.02856%-0.062-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.329.614.631.12.437.4139.7
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +4.0%
MIN +22.9%
ATL -3.7%
MIN +21.9%
MIN +4.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsATLMINNBAATLMINNBA
this game13.514.614.4121.6121.4113.4
season13.814.1115.1112.4
opponent14.314.4112.7114.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ATL13.216.412.711.813.5
MIN15.012.415.015.814.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Onyeka Okongwu42430.31-0.811.120.165-61113.713.40.3213.015.7-2.69
AJ Griffin42430.26-0.761.010.115-61112.913.9-1.0113.115.6-2.53
Aaron Holiday33340.03-0.530.57-0.3212-132513.213.7-0.5214.514.6-0.14
Bogdan Bogdanovic6363-0.05-0.450.40-0.081-2313.713.10.6415.712.92.81
Garrison Mathews2827-0.14-0.360.210.09-87-1513.013.7-0.6412.515.3-2.81
Saddiq Bey4343-0.38-0.12-0.27-0.473-4713.413.5-0.1013.015.7-2.69
Trae Young6969-0.530.03-0.57-0.15-1312-2513.713.20.5214.614.50.14
Clint Capela5960-0.570.07-0.64-0.39-65-1113.513.40.1015.713.02.69
De'Andre Hunter6666-0.630.13-0.76-0.60-10-113.413.7-0.3415.413.22.23
John Collins6567-0.790.29-1.08-0.70-32-513.812.90.9515.612.82.79

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rudy Gobert67670.74-0.240.980.653-2515.512.92.5313.912.81.07
Mike Conley65660.59-0.090.680.3010-91914.115.4-1.2713.613.40.21
Karl-Anthony Towns57570.52-0.020.550.1413-122513.815.6-1.8813.713.30.38
Kyle Anderson75730.490.010.490.61-45-915.312.62.6813.812.80.94
Jaden McDaniels74740.330.170.170.57-89-1715.612.03.5613.513.5-0.05
Taurean Prince62620.260.240.020.2310114.215.2-0.9613.214.0-0.86
Naz Reid58560.000.50-0.49-0.083-2514.115.3-1.2413.114.0-0.91
Jaylen Nowell1818-0.140.64-0.79-0.08-23-514.014.7-0.7213.413.5-0.13
Nickeil Alexander-Walker3937-0.300.80-1.110.02-1112-2313.515.3-1.8213.213.7-0.49


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.61,0.61,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.07,0.08,0.29,0.52,0.62,0.78,0.68,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 107, BOS 1150.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.68,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.27,0.61,0.79,0.78,0.99,189.7%
VAN 95, GSW 1010.5,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.26,0.25,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.64,0.33,0.84,189.3%
SAS 99, UTA 1010.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.31,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.42,189.2%