NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	108		Excitement	7.9 [347]		MVP	Jaren Jackson Jr. (MEM): +25.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	112		Comeback	29.9 [110]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (DAL): -23.2%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden Hardy	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.08	0.00	13	71%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	67%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.05
Dwight Powell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Davis Bertans	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Wood	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	13	59%	0.19	4	-0.20	8	87%	0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Bullock	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12	0.03	-0.14	0.01	6	58%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.04,-0.22,-0.23	0.03	-0.25	0.01	24	52%	-0.18	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaren Jackson Jr.	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.26	0.26	0.19	0.07	0.01	16	67%	0.26	0	0.00	10	70%	0.01
Santi Aldama	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.03	0.01	12	67%	0.17	0	0.00	9	89%	0.03
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.00	0.01	10	80%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kennard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.05	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Konchar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Bane	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.06,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	0.00	17	46%	0.05	6	-0.16	3	67%	-0.00
David Roddy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	9	22%	-0.04	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	30.6	15.3	28.5	2.5	31.2	136.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +34.6%

DAL -1.7%

MEM +17.0%

DAL -0.1%

MEM +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	16.2	14.4	14.4	113.7	120.4	113.4
season	15.2	13.9		115.5	113.4
opponent	14.3	14.3		110.0	115.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	16.5	14.8	14.3	20.0	16.2
MEM	13.5	15.3	14.0	15.2	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davis Bertans	31	31	0.11	-0.61	0.73	0.05	2	-6	8	15.2	16.6	-1.41	14.8	14.2	0.60
Dwight Powell	25	25	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-4	4	16.8	16.0	0.84	15.2	14.1	1.09
Frank Ntilikina	14	14	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-6	8	17.0	16.0	0.96	12.5	14.8	-2.28
Jaden Hardy	36	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.09	1	-5	6	15.5	16.6	-1.09	14.6	14.3	0.26
Christian Wood	58	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	0	-4	16.3	15.9	0.43	14.1	14.9	-0.78
Reggie Bullock	60	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.46	1	-5	6	16.2	16.1	0.15	15.0	13.5	1.44
Tim Hardaway Jr.	50	48	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	11	-26	16.7	15.6	1.14	14.2	14.7	-0.57
Maxi Kleber	65	63	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-5	6	16.1	16.4	-0.32	14.0	15.4	-1.37
Josh Green	68	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-3	2	16.0	16.6	-0.58	14.2	15.0	-0.72
Kyrie Irving	68	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	3	-10	16.2	16.0	0.25	14.9	13.4	1.49

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Roddy	37	38	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.36	8	-4	12	14.5	14.4	0.03	18.0	14.9	3.08
Luke Kennard	48	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-14	32	13.8	15.1	-1.30	16.7	15.6	1.02
Tyus Jones	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	-3	10	14.8	13.3	1.55	15.7	17.5	-1.82
Santi Aldama	55	55	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	0	4	14.0	15.1	-1.12	16.1	16.3	-0.21
Dillon Brooks	58	60	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.34	-3	7	-10	14.5	14.4	0.11	15.8	16.8	-0.98
Jaren Jackson Jr.	45	46	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.29	-2	6	-8	14.6	14.3	0.22	16.0	16.3	-0.30
John Konchar	33	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.08	5	-1	6	15.5	13.8	1.71	17.5	15.5	2.05
Desmond Bane	68	71	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.36	-8	12	-20	14.3	14.9	-0.60	15.6	18.0	-2.44
Xavier Tillman	52	53	-0.30	0.80	-1.09	-0.03	-9	13	-22	14.3	14.6	-0.26	15.7	16.8	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.36,0.35,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 98, HOU 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.24,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.67,0.91,1	93.0%
ORL 97, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.69,0.45,0.77,0.91,1	92.3%
IND 88, CHH 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.54,0.77,0.97,1	91.9%