NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	97		Excitement	9.6 [75]		MVP	Darrell Armstrong (ORL): +19.6%
Detroit Pistons	100		Comeback	6.2 [119]		LVP	Tracy McGrady (ORL): -30.6%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.2	0.09	0.12	0.01	10	74%	0.23	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.05
Bo Outlaw	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	8	52%	0.03	0	0.00	5	20%	-0.05
John Amaechi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	82%	0.06	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don Reid	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.17	-0.05	-0.13	-0.00	11	32%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.22	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.22	0.02	-0.20	0.05	21	48%	-0.22	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tracy McGrady	-0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.20	-0.17	-0.06	21	37%	-0.09	5	-0.22	6	67%	0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Billy Owens	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	9	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	18	44%	0.05	2	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	47%	0.03	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.05
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	8	55%	-0.07	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16	-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.00	24	52%	-0.04	5	-0.13	15	80%	-0.06
Mateen Cleaves	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.06	0.00	8	12%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	10	18%	-0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.15	-0.09	-0.00	12	39%	-0.17	2	-0.06	12	33%	-0.17

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.8	2.5	28.4	15.7	24.0	2.0	34.2	133.6
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -7.3%

ORL -4.5%

DET +80.1%

ORL -15.4%

ORL -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	DET	NBA	ORL	DET	NBA
this game	13.3	15.4	15.5	95.1	101.0	100.9
season	14.6	14.3		101.6	97.9
opponent	15.4	15.8		99.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	13.5	12.9	11.0	15.8	13.3
DET	14.7	14.3	18.6	14.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	20	20	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.02	5	-8	13	10.3	14.0	-3.67	18.8	14.5	4.34
John Amaechi	31	31	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.16	-2	-1	-1	14.1	13.0	1.14	16.0	15.1	0.90
Monty Williams	37	36	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.07	1	-4	5	13.7	13.1	0.67	14.7	15.8	-1.04
Troy Hudson	1	2	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.04	1	-4	5	3.0	13.4	-10.41	26.0	15.2	10.84
Cory Alexander	33	29	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.03	1	-4	5	14.8	12.6	2.15	13.8	16.0	-2.20
Michael Doleac	22	21	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-6	9	11.2	13.9	-2.71	14.6	15.6	-0.97
Don Reid	32	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.13	-6	3	-9	14.5	12.7	1.79	14.3	15.8	-1.53
Mike Miller	79	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.42	2	-5	7	12.9	14.8	-1.91	15.9	13.7	2.21
Bo Outlaw	62	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	4	-11	13.3	13.3	0.05	15.7	14.8	0.88
Tracy McGrady	83	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.44	-5	2	-7	13.6	12.2	1.34	15.7	14.0	1.67
Darrell Armstrong	68	68	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.48	-5	2	-7	12.7	14.4	-1.66	15.7	14.6	1.12
Pat Garrity	42	42	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.55	-3	0	-3	14.2	12.7	1.55	13.0	17.2	-4.22

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corliss Williamson	56	59	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.45	11	-8	19	13.6	17.7	-4.05	14.3	11.9	2.46
Mikki Moore	58	59	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.52	2	1	1	14.7	16.4	-1.68	13.7	12.8	0.89
Chucky Atkins	71	72	0.58	-0.08	0.65	0.49	3	0	3	15.7	14.7	0.98	13.4	13.0	0.48
Ben Wallace	85	87	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.43	4	-1	5	15.5	14.5	1.03	13.5	12.2	1.29
Jerry Stackhouse	89	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.38	4	-1	5	15.3	15.9	-0.57	13.2	14.2	-1.01
Kornel David	9	9	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	4	-5	14.9	15.4	-0.54	13.6	13.3	0.28
Mateen Cleaves	34	36	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.09	1	2	-1	14.4	15.9	-1.57	13.4	13.2	0.17
Billy Owens	49	49	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.11	-4	7	-11	17.4	13.4	4.09	12.6	14.0	-1.37
Joe Smith	44	46	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.10	-5	8	-13	16.5	14.5	2.05	11.7	14.6	-2.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.14,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.35,0.39,0.69,0.45,0.77,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 88, CHH 91	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.54,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.15,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.39,0.54,0.77,0.97,1	92.6%
ORL 90, NOH 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.51,0.45,0.36,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.17,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.77,0.74,1	92.4%
IND 112, MIA 117	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.45,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.17,0.25,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.23,0.26,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.39,0.55,0.55,0.85,0.9,1	91.8%