NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	117		Excitement	9.2 [148]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): +26.8%
Utah Jazz	118		Comeback	11.6 [118]		LVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): -11.0%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaylen Brown	0.25	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.14	0.02	19	60%	0.25	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Malcolm Brogdon	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	-0.00	12	59%	0.19	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Grant Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.13	0.16	-0.02	0.01	16	72%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	7	67%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Kornet	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	5	80%	0.11	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.11	-0.00	-0.12	-0.01	12	50%	-0.04	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.12	0.15	0.00	23	56%	0.27	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.12	0.14	0.01	11	73%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.06	0.01	7	63%	0.13	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.14
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	-0.00	7	64%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.07	0.07	-0.03	0.10	-0.00	20	43%	0.17	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	150%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	7	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Juan Toscano-Anderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	10	52%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	0.02	7	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	29.8	14.4	25.4	2.4	32.5	131.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +4.2%

UTA +6.7%

UTA +38.6%

UTA +5.4%

BOS -4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	UTA	NBA	BOS	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	14.5	14.4	121.9	121.6	113.4
season	14.5	14.3		116.3	114.4
opponent	14.1	14.6		115.5	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.4	15.2	14.2	16.6	15.3
UTA	15.2	13.1	15.2	14.7	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Muscala	45	42	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.12	5	-6	11	14.9	15.7	-0.82	15.1	14.1	0.93
Derrick White	50	52	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.05	-1	0	-1	14.8	15.8	-0.96	14.9	14.1	0.85
Sam Hauser	29	31	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.25	9	-10	19	14.3	15.7	-1.47	13.2	15.2	-1.94
Blake Griffin	38	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	5	-11	15.5	15.2	0.37	14.7	14.4	0.33
Luke Kornet	49	49	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-4	7	15.4	15.2	0.13	14.8	14.3	0.46
Malcolm Brogdon	62	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.52	11	-12	23	15.2	15.6	-0.40	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Grant Williams	61	63	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.51	-5	4	-9	15.7	14.6	1.10	14.3	15.0	-0.65
Jaylen Brown	68	70	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.54	-8	7	-15	15.5	14.9	0.63	14.8	14.0	0.81
Jayson Tatum	78	78	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.46	-13	12	-25	15.7	13.5	2.22	14.3	15.6	-1.35

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	57	56	1.05	-0.55	1.60	0.52	18	-17	35	14.9	14.1	0.80	15.9	14.4	1.50
Talen Horton-Tucker	56	54	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.61	11	-10	21	14.6	14.5	0.02	16.0	14.4	1.55
Lauri Markkanen	69	69	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.71	7	-6	13	14.9	13.7	1.12	15.9	13.9	2.02
Ochai Agbaji	71	70	0.90	-0.40	1.30	0.43	16	-15	31	14.8	13.9	0.90	15.6	14.5	1.05
Walker Kessler	67	65	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.41	15	-14	29	14.9	13.8	1.13	15.6	14.7	0.92
Damian Jones	19	18	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.07	-10	11	-21	12.9	14.9	-2.05	15.3	15.3	0.04
Juan Toscano-Anderson	16	15	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.02	-11	12	-23	14.5	14.6	-0.06	14.1	15.5	-1.46
Simone Fontecchio	32	33	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.19	-5	6	-11	13.8	14.9	-1.10	13.8	16.1	-2.35
Johnny Juzang	22	21	-0.37	0.87	-1.25	0.01	-13	14	-27	13.8	14.8	-0.94	14.6	15.5	-0.87
Kris Dunn	41	42	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.14	-10	11	-21	14.5	14.6	-0.02	14.4	16.0	-1.55
Rudy Gay	35	37	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	-0.10	-13	14	-27	14.3	14.7	-0.45	14.5	15.8	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.4,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.33,0.42,0.3,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.52,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.47,0.42,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.1,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 77, IND 82	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.22,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.1,0.07,0.43,0.42,1	90.3%
CHI 103, ORL 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.19,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.29,0.24,0.73,1	90.0%
LAL 106, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.32,0.58,1	89.8%