NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	122		Excitement	8.4 [268]		MVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (BKN): +28.5%
Denver Nuggets	120		Comeback	3.2 [151]		LVP	Spencer Dinwiddie (BKN): -28.1%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.29,0.29	0.11	0.16	-0.01	8	94%	0.33	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.18	0.02	0.00	9	91%	0.20	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Mikal Bridges	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.01	16	61%	0.18	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.03
Cameron Johnson	0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.03	-0.02	11	58%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Seth Curry	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	8	71%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Joe Harris	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	0.00	6	75%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	9	61%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.28	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,-0.07,-0.28	-0.08	-0.21	-0.01	15	42%	-0.08	3	-0.21	6	83%	0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.17	-0.00	0.02	12	88%	0.22	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.09	-0.01	23	62%	0.11	3	-0.06	10	70%	-0.08
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	19	40%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Ish Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vlatko Cancar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.25	-0.25	-0.05	-0.20	0.00	10	41%	-0.21	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	30.5	0.2	30.3	2.4	35.3	125.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +62.5%

BKN +10.9%

DEN -27.3%

DEN -4.4%

BKN +8.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	DEN	NBA	BKN	DEN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.1	14.4	129.8	125.0	113.4
season	14.4	14.7		113.7	116.6
opponent	14.5	14.8		112.3	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.9	14.8	16.6	17.5	16.2
DEN	15.4	13.4	15.4	12.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Johnson	58	57	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-11	24	15.2	17.9	-2.71	15.3	12.5	2.79
Mikal Bridges	74	75	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	0	2	16.8	13.8	3.04	14.3	13.8	0.49
Joe Harris	25	27	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.05	15	-13	28	15.6	16.4	-0.75	14.8	13.9	0.88
Royce O'Neale	57	59	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.32	1	1	0	15.9	16.6	-0.71	13.4	15.3	-1.83
Spencer Dinwiddie	74	75	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.38	-2	4	-6	16.4	15.4	1.01	13.8	15.5	-1.76
Seth Curry	36	38	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	-5	12	16.1	16.3	-0.18	15.1	13.6	1.50
Nic Claxton	54	56	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	2	-2	16.0	16.4	-0.41	15.1	12.8	2.35
Dorian Finney-Smith	76	77	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.59	-15	17	-32	16.6	14.3	2.37	13.5	16.8	-3.30
Nerlens Noel	16	16	-0.28	0.78	-1.05	0.05	-11	13	-24	16.5	16.1	0.37	10.5	14.9	-4.38

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Braun	23	23	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.04	9	-11	20	13.0	14.5	-1.56	18.2	15.5	2.68
Aaron Gordon	59	59	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.39	13	-15	28	13.7	14.8	-1.08	16.5	15.7	0.76
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	75	76	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.51	15	-17	32	13.5	16.5	-3.04	16.4	15.4	0.99
Nikola Jokic	78	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.62	14	-16	30	13.6	16.6	-3.03	16.5	14.9	1.59
Vlatko Cancar	11	9	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	10	-22	17.8	13.7	4.15	14.0	16.4	-2.42
Jamal Murray	55	53	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	11	-24	15.1	12.9	2.26	16.0	16.5	-0.48
Michael Porter Jr.	46	47	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.49	6	-8	14	14.0	14.3	-0.36	15.1	17.2	-2.09
Jeff Green	37	35	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	13	-28	14.8	13.7	1.08	15.7	16.5	-0.76
Reggie Jackson	34	31	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	0.03	-20	18	-38	15.3	13.5	1.82	16.2	16.2	0.05
Bruce Brown	62	59	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.45	-6	4	-10	14.1	14.2	-0.14	16.1	16.3	-0.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.56,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 89, CHH 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	91.8%
OKC 109, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.23,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.11,0.06,0.27,0	91.6%
GSW 130, ORL 114	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.32,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	91.0%