NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	129		Excitement	10.7 [51]		MVP	Walker Kessler (UTA): +50.9%
Orlando Magic	124		Comeback	2.7 [375]		LVP	Rudy Gay (UTA): -12.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walker Kessler	0.51	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.51	0.07	0.43	-0.01	5	100%	0.57	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.05
Simone Fontecchio	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.12	0.11	0.00	7	85%	0.26	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.05
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	18	62%	0.24	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Kris Dunn	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14	0.01	0.12	0.00	9	60%	0.22	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.07,-0.03,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.03	22	62%	0.24	2	-0.13	6	100%	0.04
Damian Jones	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	3	117%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	7	67%	0.11	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Johnny Juzang	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ochai Agbaji	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06	0.08	-0.11	0.02	10	70%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	4	10%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.46	0.46	0.09	0.37	0.00	17	58%	0.51	2	-0.05	11	64%	-0.14
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.04	0.19	0.00	8	55%	0.22	0	0.00	4	75%	0.18
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.21	-0.01	0.01	13	78%	0.19	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Gary Harris	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.09	-0.00	9	67%	0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.08	0.01	14	55%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	3	30%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.09
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09	-0.09	0.07	0.00	0.17	21	55%	-0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cole Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	8	35%	-0.03	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	30.7	14.7	31.2	2.5	34.9	141.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +55.0%

UTA +22.8%

UTA +1.2%

ORL -35.5%

UTA +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	ORL	NBA	UTA	ORL	NBA
this game	15.2	13.8	14.4	127.7	127.8	113.4
season	14.3	14.3		114.4	111.0
opponent	14.5	14.1		113.0	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.2	14.4	14.6	16.0	15.2
ORL	14.4	12.7	13.1	15.3	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	80	78	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.39	13	-8	21	15.5	14.3	1.15	13.9	13.3	0.62
Kris Dunn	64	62	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.39	10	-5	15	14.6	16.4	-1.83	14.4	12.7	1.72
Walker Kessler	72	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	0	5	16.3	12.7	3.54	14.2	13.0	1.20
Ochai Agbaji	70	67	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.31	-1	6	-7	15.9	13.8	2.03	13.6	14.2	-0.61
Johnny Juzang	27	26	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	-2	9	13.0	16.1	-3.02	13.8	13.8	-0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	71	67	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.29	-1	6	-7	16.3	12.8	3.48	13.6	14.4	-0.85
Kelly Olynyk	69	64	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	3	-1	16.2	13.3	2.88	14.2	13.1	1.05
Damian Jones	49	45	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	7	-9	14.5	15.9	-1.43	13.4	14.2	-0.81
Rudy Gay	46	43	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.05	-4	9	-13	14.4	15.9	-1.53	13.3	14.3	-1.00
Simone Fontecchio	46	41	-0.34	0.84	-1.19	0.10	-15	20	-35	15.6	14.9	0.66	14.4	13.4	1.04

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moritz Wagner	51	55	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.02	9	-14	23	13.6	14.0	-0.35	16.4	13.9	2.45
Cole Anthony	44	47	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.22	6	-11	17	13.5	14.1	-0.58	15.1	15.4	-0.26
Markelle Fultz	71	74	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-9	13	13.7	14.0	-0.31	16.2	12.7	3.42
Paolo Banchero	73	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-10	15	13.7	14.2	-0.47	16.1	12.5	3.62
Goga Bitadze	57	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	2	-9	14.9	12.3	2.53	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Gary Harris	66	69	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-4	3	14.1	13.3	0.77	16.0	13.6	2.42
Bol Bol	46	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	4	-13	14.3	13.4	0.85	14.3	16.1	-1.80
Jalen Suggs	76	81	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.29	-11	6	-17	13.8	14.0	-0.24	15.0	16.1	-1.06
Franz Wagner	78	81	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.47	-9	4	-13	13.7	14.4	-0.69	14.6	17.9	-3.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.55,0.51,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.32,0.29,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.53,0.67,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.43,0.52,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 113, CHA 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.43,0.3,0.1,0.15,0.53,0.31,0.08,0.06,0.15,0	91.3%
NYK 98, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.33,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.22,0.29,0.4,0.31,0.37,0.06,0.13,0	90.8%
OKC 85, LAC 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.15,0	90.6%