NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	114		Excitement	10.3 [65]		MVP	Donovan Mitchell (CLE): +54.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Comeback	69.4 [52]		LVP	Marcus Smart (BOS): -32.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.18	0.08	-0.01	14	73%	0.29	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Derrick White	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	-0.02	0.25	-0.02	14	43%	0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.01	6	86%	0.13	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.45
Sam Hauser	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.14,0.02,-0.03,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	26	52%	0.18	4	-0.18	10	70%	0.02
Blake Griffin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Mike Muscala	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	6	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.09	-0.03	8	39%	-0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	-0.33	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2,-0.26,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.13	-0.21	-0.01	17	32%	-0.25	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.54	0.54	0.10	0.45	0.01	34	53%	0.61	3	-0.07	8	100%	0.20
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.17,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.01	0.21	0.00	5	67%	0.28	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.05
Evan Mobley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	-0.00	0.04	14	71%	0.13	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.02
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Darius Garland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18	-0.18	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	18	42%	-0.05	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	2.4	23.8	15.2	25.6	2.3	42.0	2.8	15.2	155.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +36.7%

CLE +18.1%

CLE +3.1%

BOS -3.2%

BOS -4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CLE	NBA	BOS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.7	13.6	14.4	104.6	109.3	113.4
season	14.5	15.1		116.3	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.6		109.0	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	13.8	14.0	17.0	18.2	16.0	15.7
CLE	11.5	15.5	15.0	13.1	14.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	35	37	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.02	7	-11	18	16.3	15.3	0.98	13.5	13.7	-0.29
Sam Hauser	15	15	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.04	8	-12	20	14.4	15.9	-1.45	11.0	14.1	-3.08
Payton Pritchard	36	35	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-6	8	14.0	16.5	-2.51	13.5	13.7	-0.24
Mike Muscala	69	69	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.24	9	-13	22	15.9	15.3	0.59	15.1	11.1	3.94
Grant Williams	32	33	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.14	-4	0	-4	14.7	16.1	-1.36	15.2	13.0	2.25
Jaylen Brown	94	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.43	-1	-3	2	15.8	14.5	1.37	13.1	16.7	-3.57
Malcolm Brogdon	74	72	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	3	-10	15.6	15.7	-0.05	14.0	13.0	0.97
Luke Kornet	40	40	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.07	-17	13	-30	16.4	15.2	1.14	11.3	15.0	-3.69
Marcus Smart	76	75	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.47	-8	4	-12	16.0	14.9	1.02	13.8	13.3	0.50
Derrick White	74	72	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.47	-9	5	-14	15.7	15.6	0.12	13.8	13.4	0.39

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Garland	84	85	1.03	-0.53	1.57	0.54	17	-13	30	14.2	11.7	2.55	16.1	14.2	1.90
Lamar Stevens	32	34	0.97	-0.47	1.44	0.44	18	-14	32	13.8	13.6	0.19	17.2	14.9	2.30
Caris LeVert	66	68	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.44	9	-5	14	13.0	14.6	-1.55	15.8	15.4	0.38
Evan Mobley	84	85	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.41	9	-5	14	13.2	15.3	-2.11	15.9	14.7	1.26
Donovan Mitchell	97	96	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.40	3	1	2	13.6	13.9	-0.29	16.0	13.0	3.01
Ricky Rubio	17	17	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	10	-16	13.5	13.7	-0.21	12.5	16.2	-3.70
Dean Wade	26	26	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.05	-10	14	-24	12.1	14.1	-2.07	13.2	16.4	-3.28
Jarrett Allen	52	51	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	-0.04	-8	12	-20	14.4	12.9	1.46	15.8	15.5	0.32
Cedi Osman	34	36	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.07	-7	11	-18	15.2	12.9	2.32	14.9	16.0	-1.18
Isaac Okoro	48	47	-0.45	0.95	-1.41	-0.31	-5	9	-14	13.2	14.0	-0.72	15.2	16.0	-0.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.22,0.09,0.16,0.46,0.24,0.46,0.78,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 110, LAL 113	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.13,0.23,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.33,0.16,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.83,1	91.1%
CHI 120, TOR 122	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.29,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.19,0.27,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.22,0.33,0.09,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.57,0.82,1	91.0%
MEM 129, NYK 133	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.46,0.47,0.71,0.76,0.83,1	90.7%