NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	133		Excitement	8.3 [294]		MVP	James Harden (PHI): +42.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	130		Comeback	30.9 [33]		LVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): -7.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,0.12,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.42,0.42	0.17	0.28	0.03	26	60%	0.47	2	-0.04	11	100%	0.10
Georges Niang	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.17	0.13	0.01	7	100%	0.30	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Joel Embiid	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.28	0.11	0.22	0.05	22	57%	0.31	1	-0.03	10	60%	-0.05
Jalen McDaniels	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.24,0.24	0.09	0.15	-0.00	3	89%	0.24	0	0.00	3	100%	0.06
Tyrese Maxey	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24	0.19	0.05	0.01	12	81%	0.26	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.06
Paul Reed	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	80%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Tobias Harris	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.43,0.43,0.32	0.32	0.24	0.14	0.06	13	90%	0.35	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.19	0.12	0.02	16	72%	0.31	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.21	0.06	0.01	10	100%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.27	0.27	0.00	0.26	0.00	21	57%	0.44	7	-0.18	18	89%	0.13
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	3.4	29.2	14.8	28.3	2.7	46.3	151.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +27.2%

MIL -7.5%

PHI +4.6%

PHI +16.2%

PHI +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	15.3	14.6	14.4	135.7	136.8	113.4
season	15.2	14.0		115.9	113.8
opponent	14.2	14.5		111.1	112.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.6	15.0	16.0	13.7	15.3
MIL	14.0	13.8	16.8	14.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jalen McDaniels	42	41	0.88	-0.38	1.26	0.47	14	-11	25	14.4	15.9	-1.45	14.7	14.5	0.27
Georges Niang	59	55	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.32	10	-7	17	15.3	15.2	0.17	14.4	14.8	-0.47
James Harden	81	78	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.45	5	-2	7	15.1	15.9	-0.76	14.5	14.9	-0.37
Tyrese Maxey	83	81	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.41	-1	4	-5	15.0	16.4	-1.35	14.6	14.4	0.26
Joel Embiid	77	74	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.47	-7	10	-17	14.6	17.5	-2.83	14.9	13.6	1.23
Paul Reed	19	19	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	-5	13	17.7	14.7	3.01	13.2	14.9	-1.78
Shake Milton	17	17	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.10	8	-5	13	15.2	15.3	-0.10	15.2	14.4	0.80
Tobias Harris	27	26	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	2	-1	15.3	15.2	0.06	14.7	14.5	0.16
P.J. Tucker	36	37	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.03	-4	7	-11	16.3	14.6	1.70	15.7	13.9	1.84
De'Anthony Melton	49	47	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.11	-19	22	-41	15.7	14.8	0.84	13.7	15.5	-1.78

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pat Connaughton	34	34	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.00	8	-11	19	14.7	14.5	0.20	17.2	14.2	2.94
Bobby Portis	31	34	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.13	-4	1	-5	15.3	14.2	1.06	14.3	15.8	-1.52
Jevon Carter	27	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.21	-8	5	-13	14.3	14.7	-0.45	14.3	15.6	-1.31
Joe Ingles	35	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-2	1	15.0	14.3	0.67	15.4	15.2	0.18
Jae Crowder	24	26	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	2	-7	13.8	14.8	-1.00	16.4	14.8	1.54
Brook Lopez	66	70	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.60	11	-14	25	14.8	14.1	0.73	15.0	16.0	-0.99
Jrue Holiday	72	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.54	5	-8	13	14.5	14.7	-0.15	15.2	15.3	-0.10
Grayson Allen	60	60	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	2	-7	15.1	13.7	1.32	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Khris Middleton	56	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.54	-2	-1	-1	13.6	16.0	-2.37	14.5	16.4	-1.95
Giannis Antetokounmpo	70	69	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.36	-14	11	-25	14.6	14.6	-0.08	15.8	14.0	1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.81,0.71,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.89,0.75,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.54,0.73,0.81,0.72,0.84,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.58,0	92.3%
BOS 83, IND 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.66,0.42,0	91.8%
MIL 105, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.85,0.84,0	90.9%