NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	83		Excitement	7.7 [286]		MVP	Jeff Green (BOS): +18.7%
Indiana Pacers	81		Comeback	20.7 [25]		LVP	David West (IND): -30.3%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Green	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.18,0.19	-0.04	0.23	-0.00	14	39%	0.21	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.01	8	62%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	10	75%	0.17	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.06	0.00	15	43%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
DJ White	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	15	39%	-0.10	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.14	0.00	11	56%	0.20	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	3	25%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	40%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Orlando Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	9	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	15	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	-0.00	22	36%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.17	-0.17	-0.03	-0.13	0.01	13	46%	-0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.08,-0.3,-0.3	-0.30	-0.06	-0.24	0.00	10	46%	-0.06	4	-0.24	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.6	2.6	28.1	14.7	23.6	2.6	31.2	124.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +56.6%

IND -5.2%

IND -16.1%

BOS +14.0%

BOS +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	14.1	17.2	15.4	90.2	88.0	104.1
season	14.9	16.1		101.2	102.4
opponent	15.5	16.2		99.0	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.3	11.7	14.0	16.1	14.1
IND	14.7	16.0	18.1	20.7	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	53	55	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.38	11	-9	20	14.8	13.3	1.50	20.0	13.0	7.00
Jeff Green	64	64	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.40	10	-8	18	13.6	15.3	-1.68	17.9	15.5	2.47
Jason Terry	40	40	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.48	7	-5	12	14.0	14.2	-0.12	19.1	15.7	3.43
Paul Pierce	65	66	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.49	5	-3	8	14.1	14.1	-0.04	16.5	19.0	-2.48
Avery Bradley	68	67	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.64	-3	5	-8	14.1	14.3	-0.23	15.2	22.6	-7.38
Jordan Crawford	24	24	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.14	8	-6	14	14.0	14.2	-0.16	20.8	15.9	4.88
DJ White	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.04	2	0	2	12.0	14.3	-2.32	18.9	17.0	1.85
Chris Wilcox	37	34	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	8	-14	13.3	14.7	-1.38	13.9	19.1	-5.24
Courtney Lee	61	61	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	-0.18	-6	8	-14	14.4	13.5	0.86	17.5	16.5	1.06
Brandon Bass	40	41	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	0.08	-18	20	-38	15.1	13.4	1.73	14.5	19.3	-4.82

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ian Mahinmi	32	31	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.09	1	-3	4	17.2	17.2	-0.04	12.4	15.0	-2.56
Orlando Johnson	24	23	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.05	2	-4	6	20.6	16.0	4.65	12.9	14.5	-1.67
D.J. Augustin	20	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.13	-6	4	-10	22.3	15.7	6.60	12.4	14.6	-2.25
Sam Young	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	0	-2	23.4	16.7	6.76	9.1	14.5	-5.39
Tyler Hansbrough	17	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	5	-12	23.4	15.8	7.64	12.5	14.5	-1.96
David West	75	76	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.53	5	-7	12	15.8	23.4	-7.64	14.5	12.5	1.96
Paul George	85	85	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.44	0	-2	2	16.7	23.4	-6.76	14.5	9.1	5.39
George Hill	72	71	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.57	4	-6	10	15.7	22.3	-6.60	14.6	12.4	2.25
Lance Stephenson	68	69	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.49	-4	2	-6	16.0	20.6	-4.65	14.5	12.9	1.67
Roy Hibbert	60	61	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.53	-3	1	-4	17.2	17.2	0.04	15.0	12.4	2.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.66,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 121, SAS 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.79,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.81,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.68,0.63,0.59,0.78,0.83,0.89,0.59,0.42,0	92.6%
POR 101, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.58,0	91.8%
MIA 101, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.78,0.71,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.58,0	91.8%