inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 105 Excitement9.1 [144] MVPGiannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +68.7%
New York Knicks 104 Comeback19.4 [95] LVPDerrick Rose (NYK): -39.5%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo0.690,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.690.090.610.011863%0.753-0.07786%0.01
Jason Terry0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.02580%0.0700.0000%0.00
Michael Beasley0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.00387%0.071-0.032100%0.01
John Henson0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.011100%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jabari Parker-0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.03-0.020.011054%0.021-0.02875%0.01
Greg Monroe-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.010.01-0.020.011060%0.053-0.071040%-0.15
Mirza Teletovic-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.040.001059%0.032-0.052100%0.01
Miles Plumlee-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.020.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Malcolm Brogdon-0.100,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.02-0.070.011440%-0.1000.002100%0.01
Tony Snell-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.06-0.040.01530%-0.052-0.0600%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle O'Quinn0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.020.09-0.01850%0.1100.0000%0.00
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.10.100.070.01-0.022356%0.162-0.06875%-0.02
Mindaugas Kuzminskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.080.010.011068%0.101-0.02250%-0.01
Lance Thomas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.040.040.000.02-0.02844%0.0400.0000%0.00
Courtney Lee0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.020.02961%0.0300.0000%0.00
Willy Hernangomez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Justin Holiday0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.00658%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Brandon Jennings0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.01-0.01437%-0.003-0.0700%0.00
Joakim Noah0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07-0.070.01-0.070.01750%-0.0700.0020%-0.02
Derrick Rose0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.4-0.40-0.12-0.260.021842%-0.095-0.3100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.729.515.023.12.436.3132.2
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +30.2%
MIL +23.3%
NYK -21.7%
MIL +18.7%
NYK -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILNYKNBAMILNYKNBA
this game13.816.314.8110.5108.3107.7
season14.915.0107.4106.6
opponent14.715.3110.0107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIL13.015.714.611.813.8
NYK15.214.316.020.016.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Terry52530.84-0.341.180.4613-122513.214.5-1.2618.313.94.38
Greg Monroe59590.73-0.230.960.527-61313.813.9-0.1117.314.72.59
Jabari Parker75760.65-0.150.810.486-51113.415.3-1.8716.216.9-0.79
Malcolm Brogdon75770.52-0.020.540.433-2514.013.10.8516.515.50.99
Giannis Antetokounmpo76760.210.29-0.070.54-1112-2314.610.83.7915.718.5-2.75
Mirza Teletovic39400.130.37-0.23-0.077-61313.114.3-1.2217.715.32.40
Miles Plumlee890.070.43-0.35-0.013-259.614.2-4.5813.016.7-3.67
Michael Beasley2019-0.020.52-0.540.04-23-513.114.0-0.8515.516.5-0.99
John Henson2828-0.300.80-1.11-0.04-910-1915.113.31.8215.316.7-1.46
Tony Snell4343-0.340.84-1.180.01-1213-2514.513.21.2613.918.3-4.38

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Willy Hernangomez550.03-0.530.55-0.001-2315.616.4-0.7617.013.63.36
Mindaugas Kuzminskas3939-0.03-0.470.440.00-10-116.216.4-0.2013.114.3-1.26
Justin Holiday2120-0.17-0.330.160.04-76-1316.416.30.1413.413.9-0.47
Kyle O'Quinn2928-0.18-0.320.140.08-98-1718.415.42.9512.314.5-2.18
Carmelo Anthony7574-0.24-0.260.02-0.385-61115.718.4-2.7013.614.6-0.96
Courtney Lee7575-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.516-71316.316.4-0.1413.913.40.47
Joakim Noah6262-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.557-81515.418.0-2.5514.313.01.26
Derrick Rose6867-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.557-81515.618.1-2.5714.013.30.76
Brandon Jennings3132-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.01-1211-2318.215.42.7613.114.2-1.05
Lance Thomas7573-0.530.03-0.56-0.47-21-316.914.32.5514.511.53.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.57,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.82,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.79,0.85,0.84,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 94, MIN 920.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.84,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.81,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.73,092.4%
CHI 108, NYK 1010.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.78,0.86,0.91,0.69,0.81,0.91,0.96,0.79,0.9,0.73,091.7%
DAL 100, HOU 940.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.79,0.79,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.91,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.84,091.5%