NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	117		Excitement	6.6 [589]		MVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): +39.6%
Detroit Pistons	115		Comeback	1.4 [847]		LVP	Jaden Ivey (DET): -13.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach LaVine	0.40	0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.4	0.32	0.17	0.10	20	87%	0.42	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.11
DeMar DeRozan	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.02	16	51%	0.12	2	-0.05	9	78%	0.05
Coby White	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	11	61%	0.08	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	67%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	4	42%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03
Nikola Vucevic	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	15	35%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Patrick Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.11	-0.01	9	55%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Drummond	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.27,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.22	0.01	0.07	21	74%	0.23	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.07
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.12	0.04	13	61%	0.19	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.04
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	61%	0.04	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	8	55%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	3	50%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Wiseman	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	58%	0.01	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.04
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13	-0.13	0.03	-0.15	0.02	9	67%	-0.02	4	-0.12	9	67%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	24.4	14.7	29.5	2.5	40.2	139.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -2.9%

CHI +16.7%

CHI +11.6%

CHI +8.8%

CHI +15.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DET	NBA	CHI	DET	NBA
this game	15.1	13.3	14.4	114.7	113.9	113.4
season	14.1	14.6		112.0	109.6
opponent	14.2	14.9		117.3	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.8	14.4	13.5	17.1	15.1
DET	13.0	15.0	12.2	12.9	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	69	68	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.17	16	-14	30	15.2	14.9	0.23	13.5	12.7	0.85
Nikola Vucevic	75	74	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-9	20	15.2	14.8	0.44	13.1	13.6	-0.49
Zach LaVine	78	78	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-4	10	14.9	15.7	-0.80	13.1	14.0	-0.95
DeMar DeRozan	77	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-8	18	15.4	14.1	1.30	13.6	12.3	1.29
Alex Caruso	41	41	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	-3	8	15.6	14.8	0.81	12.8	13.6	-0.86
Patrick Williams	61	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	8	-14	14.8	15.6	-0.81	13.6	12.8	0.86
Andre Drummond	27	27	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.17	-9	11	-20	14.8	15.2	-0.44	13.6	13.1	0.49
Coby White	49	49	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.15	-9	11	-20	14.9	15.3	-0.39	13.1	13.4	-0.32
Ayo Dosunmu	33	33	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.27	-14	16	-30	14.9	15.2	-0.23	12.7	13.5	-0.85

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Bagley III	43	41	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.24	14	-16	30	12.0	14.2	-2.17	14.9	15.3	-0.41
Alec Burks	38	39	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.24	12	-14	26	13.6	13.1	0.46	15.6	14.8	0.75
Hamidou Diallo	61	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.53	14	-16	30	13.0	13.6	-0.63	15.0	15.2	-0.13
Bojan Bogdanovic	85	85	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.50	11	-13	24	12.6	16.8	-4.21	15.1	14.9	0.19
R.J. Hampton	14	15	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.04	-10	8	-18	16.4	12.8	3.67	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Cory Joseph	51	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.49	7	-9	16	13.7	12.8	0.89	15.7	14.5	1.21
Rodney McGruder	36	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.12	-15	13	-28	13.6	13.1	0.58	15.1	15.1	0.07
Killian Hayes	52	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	15	-32	13.2	13.4	-0.23	14.7	15.5	-0.79
Jaden Ivey	67	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.25	-10	8	-18	13.1	13.6	-0.57	14.8	15.6	-0.79
James Wiseman	58	61	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.20	-16	14	-30	14.2	12.0	2.17	15.3	14.9	0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.23,0.3,0.2,0.27,0.39,0.45,0.33,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 106, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.16,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.42,0	92.8%
PHX 95, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.25,0.29,0.09,0.28,0	91.5%
DEN 101, IND 99	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.21,0.09,0.22,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.42,0	91.3%